361
FNUS75 KSLC 150356
FWSSLC

Spot Forecast for Auger...USFS
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
956 PM MDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 11 PM MDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...After a dry overnight period with light and variable
to northwest winds 5-10 mph, more active weather is expected
Tuesday. Generally, expect winds to favor a westerly directional
component with magnitudes increasing to around 7-15 mph along with
some gusts around 25 mph or so. However, will see isolated to
scattered convective development through the afternoon on into the
early evening. In addition to lightning, anything that develops
near the burn area will have the potential to result in gusty and
erratic outflow winds. With any stronger cell, there is potential
for some of these outflow gusts to be in excess of 50 mph.
Activity will trend downward in strength and coverage after
sunset, with northwest winds then generally once again favored
through the night. Fair humidity recoveries are expected
overnight, pushing to near 50% or potentially higher especially if
much in the way of measurable precipitation was received from
daytime convection. A similar evolution to the weather is expected
through the day Wednesday, with isolated to scattered convection
once again developing through the afternoon, bringing the threat
of lightning and gusty erratic outflow wind gusts.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent cloud cover) then
                    becoming partly cloudy (60-70 percent cloud
                    cover). Patchy smoke in the morning. Isolated
                    dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of lightning.30 percent.
Max temperature.....76-78.
Min humidity........14-18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7-15 mph, with gusts up to 25 mph
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......12700 ft AGL.
   Climatology......95-97th Percentile.
Transport winds.....West around 14 mph becoming southwest around 16
                    mph in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent cloud cover).
                    Isolated dry thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Isolated rain showers late in the
                    evening. Patchy smoke through the night.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of lightning.13 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........53-57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms
early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 17 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (0-10 percent cloud cover) then
                    becoming partly cloudy (50-60 percent cloud
                    cover). Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of lightning.30 percent.
Max temperature.....74-76.
Min humidity........18-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7-15 mph with gusts to around
20 mph in the afternoon Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......11400 ft AGL.
   Climatology......80-90th Percentile.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 20 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Warthen
Requested by...Sarah Jorgenson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518027.0/SLC
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sarah.jorgenson@usda.gov