Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 230822
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
322 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 338 PM CDT Fri Mar 22 2024

The upper low continues to head eastward out of east Texas, with
drier air filtering in across west central Texas behind a weak
front. Winds have increased this afternoon, but expect a decrease
after sunset as a surface high builds in. Overnight lows will stay
near normal in the lower to mid 40s, with afternoon highs
tomorrow much the same as today, in the 70s. Quiet weather and
mostly clear skies through tomorrow with westerly flow aloft,
before a lee trough strengthens over far west Texas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 257 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2024

Not much has changed in the forecast for the longer term, with the
best chance of storms coming Sunday night.

Dryline shifts east into the area on Sunday afternoon with gusty
southwest winds following in its wake. Aloft cap is strong and
doesn`t appear like instability will be enough to overcomes it.
Dryline shifts back west, likely back west of a San Angelo to
Abilene line. Pacific front overtakes the dryline and this may be
enough to break the cap and get convection going. Best chances
will be across the Heartland and Hill Country mainly late in the
evening and into the early morning hours on Monday.

Cooler on Monday behind the Pacific front, and then even cooler on
Tuesday as another front moves south into the area and bring a
little cooler air mass into the area. Next shortwaves drops into
the trough and across the ares on Wednesday and brings a slight
chance of showers and storms into the Big Country and Heartland.

Warming trend starts on Thursday with readings climbing well back
into the 80s for the weekend.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2024

A brief period of MVFR conditions are possible across the region
on Saturday morning. Confidence in the development of the MVFR
conditions is low to medium. Otherwise, breezy conditions may develop
across some of the terminals Saturday afternoon and evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     70  57  77  50 /   0   0  10  40
San Angelo  74  55  78  47 /   0   0   0  40
Junction    76  52  75  52 /   0   0   0  70
Brownwood   69  54  72  52 /   0   0   0  60
Sweetwater  70  57  78  49 /   0   0  10  10
Ozona       73  52  76  46 /   0   0   0  30
Brady       70  55  72  52 /   0   0   0  70

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...41


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