Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FNUS54 KOHX 160752
FWFOHX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Middle Tennessee
National Weather Service Nashville TN
252 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be
possible across mid state region through Tuesday afternoon. Only
light rainfall amounts expected though. Minimum afternoon relative
humidity values today will range lower 40s southeastern portions to
upper 50s north. Minimum afternoon relative humidity values on
Monday will range upper 30s southeastern portions to upper 40s
north. Building upper level ridging influences will bring dry but
seasonally warm temperatures approaching as much as ten degrees
above normal as second half of work week into first part of
upcoming weekend progresses.

TNZ005>008-023>028-059-062-171000-
Cheatham-Davidson-Dickson-Houston-Humphreys-Montgomery-Robertson-
Rutherford-Stewart-Sumner-Williamson-Wilson-
Including the cities of Ashland City, Brentwood, Clarksville,
Dickson, Dover, Erin, Franklin, Gallatin, Goodlettsville,
Hendersonville, Kingston Springs, La Vergne, Lebanon, McEwen,
Mount Juliet, Murfreesboro, Nashville, New Johnsonville, Smyrna,
Springfield, Tennessee Ridge, and Waverly
252 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Temp (24H Trend)      78 (+1)      58 (+7)      80
RH % (24H Trend)      43 (+11)     88 (+2)      39
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S 4-8                     S 6-10
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW 4-8       LGT/VAR      S 6-10
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           10
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hr)       2                         1
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            6 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1700                      2000
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   5500                      6600
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  2                     S  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5                     S 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     7604                      16040
Category Day          2                         4
Dispersion Index      10           3            48
LAL                   3            2            1
Haines Index          3            3            4
Maximum LVORI         9            7            9
RH Recovery                        Good

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds up
to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
40 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 36 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 35 percent. South winds up to 5 mph.

$$

TNZ009>011-029>034-063>066-078-080-171000-
Cannon-Clay-Cumberland-De Kalb-Fentress-Jackson-Macon-Overton-
Pickett-Putnam-Smith-Trousdale-Van Buren-Warren-White-
Including the cities of Allardt, Byrdstown, Carthage, Celina,
Cookeville, Crossville, Gainesboro, Gordonsville, Hartsville,
Jamestown, Lafayette, Livingston, McMinnville, Smithville,
South Carthage, Sparta, Spencer, and Woodbury
252 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Temp (24H Trend)      73 (-2)      55 (+5)      78
RH % (24H Trend)      40 (+6)      89 (+8)      36
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S 4-8                     S 4-8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW 4-8       LGT/VAR      S 4-8
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           10
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hr)       1                         1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   1 PM
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1700                      2200
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   5600                      7100
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  2                      SW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  5                      SW  8
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     5932                      15649
Category Day          2                         3
Dispersion Index      11           1            33
LAL                   3            2            1
Haines Index          3            3            4
Maximum LVORI         10           9            10
RH Recovery                        Moderate

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
30 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 33 percent. South winds up to 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 33 percent. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

$$

TNZ056>058-060-061-075-076-092>096-171000-
Bedford-Giles-Hardin-Hickman-Lawrence-Lewis-Lincoln-Marshall-Maury-
Moore-Perry-Wayne-
Including the cities of Centerville, Clifton, Columbia,
Fayetteville, Hohenwald, Lawrenceburg, Lewisburg, Linden,
Lobelville, Lynchburg, Olive Hill, Pickwick Dam, Pulaski, Savannah,
Shelbyville, and Waynesboro
252 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24H Trend)      80 (+2)      57 (+7)      80
RH % (24H Trend)      39 (+6)      84 (-5)      38
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S 4-8                     S 4-8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW 4-8       LGT/VAR      S 6-10
Precip Chance (%)     10           10           10
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hr)                                 1
Precip Begin                                    1 PM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    2000                      1900
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   6700                      6300
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  3                     S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7                     S 18
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     9509                      15535
Category Day          3                         4
Dispersion Index      31           5            56
LAL                   1            1            1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Maximum LVORI         10           6            7
RH Recovery                        Moderate

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
30 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 34 percent. South winds up to 5 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079-097-171000-
Coffee-Franklin-Grundy-
Including the cities of Altamont, Coalmont, Cowan, Decherd,
Estill Springs, Manchester, Sewanee, Tullahoma, and Winchester
252 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Temp (24H Trend)      78 (+2)      55 (+5)      80
RH % (24H Trend)      38 (+7)      84 (+1)      36
AM 20FT Wnd (mph)     S 4-8                     S 4-8
PM 20FT Wnd (mph)     SW 4-8       LGT/VAR      S 4-8
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           10
Precip Type           None         None         None
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hr)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    2000                      2000
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   6700                      6700
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  3                     S  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6                     S 16
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     8354                      15743
Category Day          3                         4
Dispersion Index      27           3            56
LAL                   2            1            1
Haines Index          4            3            4
Maximum LVORI         8            6            7
RH Recovery                        Moderate

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
20 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 33 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 32 percent. South winds up to 5 mph.

$$
JB Wright


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