Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FXUS64 KLCH 192329
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
629 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...
For the 04/20/18 0000 UTC TAF package.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR to prevail amid light to modest N/NE SFC winds.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 408 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Cooler and drier air behind the front will prevail through Friday,
with many places not quite climbing out of the 60s tomorrow
afternoon. Overall, temperatures will run around 5-10 degrees
below normal through tomorrow with no rain chances, making for a
pleasant end to the work week.

In what seems to have become a pattern, another is expected this
weekend as a large surface and upper level low move through the
region Saturday night into Sunday morning. Chances for showers
and thunderstorms will increase by Saturday afternoon and evening.
Models are fairly consistent in timing the best chances for
precipitation late Saturday evening through early Sunday morning.
SPC has included our area in a Marginal Risk for the Day 3
convective outlook (Saturday into early Sunday morning). At this
time, main concern is convection firing along the warm front
Saturday afternoon and evening, though forecast buoyancy is
limited.

Showers will linger into late Sunday morning as
the system exits our area. Slightly cooler and drier air is
expected Monday through Wednesday of next week.

RACKLEY

MARINE...
Elevated offshore flow will continue tonight through Friday
morning behind the front. A small craft advisory is in effect from
10 PM this evening through 7 AM Friday. Winds will shift to a
southerly direction by Saturday, increasing in speed over the
weekend ahead of our next storm system. Another cold front,
preceded and accompanied by scattered to widespread showers and
thunderstorms, will sweep through the coastal waters on Sunday.

RACKLEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  45  68  51  74 /   0   0   0  20
LCH  49  70  55  74 /   0   0  10  20
LFT  48  69  54  76 /   0   0   0  20
BPT  51  69  59  74 /   0   0  10  40

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM CDT Friday
     for GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475.

     Small Craft Exercise Caution until 10 PM CDT this evening for
     GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.

&&

$$



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