Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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000
FXUS65 KLKN 201012
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
312 AM PDT Sat Jul 20 2019

.SYNOPSIS...Building high pressure over the region will result in
increasing temperatures over the state through Monday. Sunday and
Monday look to be the hottest of the year so far with lower 100s
expected in several locations. A more active monsoon pattern
arrives Tuesday with showers and thunderstorms returning to parts
of the state. Afternoon highs will gradually come down into the
low to mid 90s as a result.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday. The dry trend will continue
through Monday of next week as the four corners high expands. A
weak impulse coming in from central CA could bring a few elevated
showers and dry thunderstorms to primarily Humboldt county Sunday
afternoon while the central and northeastern parts of the state
remain dry. Highs will reach the lower 90s to low 100s over the
area especially Sunday. Overnight lows will be in the 50s and 60s.
Winds will remain relatively light though some afternoon gusts
are possible.

.LONG TERM...Monday through next Saturday.

A strong Four Corners high begins the long term centered
over....Four Corners. The high center meanders around Utah
generally but strong lobes of high pressure rotate round the
center and settle in over Nevada through Saturday. Overall full
latitude ridge develops over the interior Western North American
from around Baja California del Sur north through eastern Nevada
into the central Canadian Rockies.

Result is opening the subtropical eastern Pacific and Gulf of
California and pumping moisture into the state. Above normal temps
moderates a little by moisture flux and clouds, but still very
warm.

Dewpoints increase a little each day as a weak to moderate monsoon
push takes over. Instability from low level heating brings a few
more storms each afternoon and evening. Starting off mostly dry
Monday and limited to higher terrain over central and extreme
northern Nevada, then mix of wet and dry Tuesday, increasing wet
coverage Wednesday. Thursday through Saturday will be mostly wet
storms with Thursday showing some potential for brief heavy
showers. Northwest Nevada will evade the monsoon push and stay
mostly dry and very warm.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR for the next 24 hours all terminals.

Note: AMD NOT SKED for KBAM until further notice due to missing
sky conditions from automated WX station.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Very warm to hot conditions will persist across
the Great Basin through Monday. Temperatures will be hottest
Sunday and Monday with several valleys reaching the lower 100s.
A slight chance for afternoon isolated showers and dry
thunderstorms could affect Humboldt county Sunday as a weak
upper-level disturbance moves through northwest NV. Better
chances for showers and thunderstorms arrive Tuesday. Accumulating
rainfall is possible particularly across White Pine county and
northeastern Nye county although realistically expect a mix of
wet and dry thunderstorms. Relative humidity will improve somewhat
beginning Monday as monsoon moisture begins to filter into the
area.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

93/98/98/93


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