822
FNUS73 KDLH 140939
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Banjo RX...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
439 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 14.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Another dry day today. Skies will be mostly sunny most of today,
though clouds increase this evening into tonight. Mixing heights
start out around 3700 ft and rise to 4600 ft by early afternoon.
High pressure over southern Canada will keep winds lighter out of
the east until mid afternoon, at which time they turn more
southeasterly. Winds will be sustained around 5-7 mph with gusts
at or less than 10 mph. Some local variation in wind direction is
possible due to nearby Lime Mountain. High temperatures rise into
the upper 50s, with min RH values dropping to around 35%, though
could see RH dip to around 30% if mixing is deeper this afternoon
than expected. Smoke dispersal will be fair throughout the day.

Rain showers arrive with an approaching low pressure system very
Wednesday evening and persist into at least Thursday morning.
Look for rain amounts of around one-tenth to one-quarter of an
inch. Due to the later arrival of the rain, afternoon min RH will
still be dry in the 30-35% range, though mixing heights only reach
a peak of 3200-3500 ft.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14700-27600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  45  49  51  53  54  56  56  55  55
RH..............79  66  55  49  44  40  37  37  37  35
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   5               7       7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.3 2.9 3.7 4.0 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.2 3.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   7   7   7   6   7   7   8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100015  16  20  22  24  28  23  27  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1900-19400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............53     46     38     37     35     35
RH..............37     47     63     56     57     59
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 4   SE 3   SE 2   SE 2   E 3
20 ft wind gust.8      7      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2800   1000   400    400    300    300
Transport wind..SE 8   SE 8   SE 7   SE 8   SE 7   SE 7
Haines index....4      4      4      4      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100019     7      2      3      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Cory
Requested by...Darin Smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414050.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL darin.smith2@usda.gov