Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
704 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

KYZ027-028-045-053-054-062>065-250115-
Grayson-Hardin-Nelson-Larue-Marion-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-
Including the cities of Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Bardstown,
Hodgenville, Lebanon, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg,
and Campbellsville
704 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022 /604 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022/

...A pocket of Moderate Drought Has Developed in Central Kentucky...

...First return to drought since October 2019...

SYNOPSIS...

Recent bouts of hot and dry weather have led to the development of
abnormally dry conditions across much of the Midwest and Ohio
Valley, along with moderate drought in a small part of central
Kentucky. The most recent spell of hot weather, with temperatures
frequently in the 90s and Louisville reaching 100, was accompanied
by relatively low dew points in the 40s and 50s. This allowed for
drying of vegetation and surface soils.

Moderate Drought (D1 on the United States Drought Monitor) extends
roughly from Leitchfield and Brownsville through
Munfordville...Hodgenville...and Greensburg to Lebanon and
Campbellsville.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

Because this is the first week of drought and it has not become
severe or particularly widespread yet, impacts so far have been few.
Corn has been the most affected crop, with some leaf curl beginning
to show. Lawns are beginning to brown as well. Pastures, tobacco,
and winter wheat are just beginning to show signs of stress.

In Kentucky 34 percent of topsoil was short or very short of
moisture, along with 30 percent of subsoil. At the Kentucky Mesonet
station in Marion County soil moisture at 2 inches dropped from
14 percent to 10 percent...and at 4 inches from 23 percent to 16
percent.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

Over the last one to four months the Ohio Valley has received around
half of its normal precipitation. Though there have been
thunderstorms recently, they have been scattered and have not
significantly helped the dryness on a large geographical scale.

A short lived heat wave swept the region June 13-16, accompanied by
oppressive dew points in the 70s to lower 80s. After a brief break,
heat returned June 20-23, with Louisville reaching 100 degrees on
the 22nd. This was Louisville`s first 100 degree reading since 2012.
The total precipitation during those two stretches at Louisville and
Bowling Green was 0.01" and Lexington 0.18". Frankfort benefited
from thunderstorms and received 1.07".

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

The best chance of rain over the next several days will arrive on
Sunday June 26 with a cold frontal passage. General amounts of one
quarter to one half inch are expected, though some places may get
less and locations that get under a thunderstorm could receive much
more.

The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center through July 8 does
call for a greater likelihood of warmer than normal
temperatures...but also slightly increased chances of wetter than
normal conditions.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

Most streams in central Kentucky have below normal or much below
normal streamflow. The forecasted rainfall amounts for Sunday are
not expected to have a significant effect on river stages other than
to prevent them from falling much farther.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

This product will be updated when a significant change in drought
status takes place. That includes a change in the area covered by
drought, an increase in the drought severity level, or eradication
of the drought. Statements may be issued more frequently if
necessary.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

Additional information on current drought conditions may be found at
the following web addresses:

NWS Louisville Drought Page...weather.gov/louisville/drought
U.S. Drought Monitor...droughtmonitor.unl.edu
Drought Impact Reporter...droughtreporter.unl.edu/map/
U.S. Drought Portal...drought.gov
Midwestern Regional Climate Center...mrcc.purdue.edu
Kentucky Climate Center...kyclimate.org
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service...water.weather.gov
Kentucky Energy and Environment Cabinet...eec.ky.gov
Climate Prediction Center...cpc.ncep.gov
USGS Groundwater Watch...http://waterwatch.usgs.gov
National Ag Stats Svc...http://www.nass.usda.gov/statistics_by_state

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

The U.S. Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the
National Weather Service and the National Centers for Environmental
Information, state and regional center climatologists, and the
National Drought Mitigation Center. Information for this statement
has been gathered from the NWS and FAA observation sites,
cooperative network stations, the USGS, the Kentucky Mesonet, and
the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

If you have any questions or comments about this Drought Information
Statement please contact:

National Weather Service
6201 Theiler Lane
Louisville, KY 40229
Phone 502-969-8842
email nws.louisville@noaa.gov

$$

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