886
FXUS65 KLKN 070803
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
103 AM PDT Tue May 7 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Look for colder temperatures and gusty winds across
the area today with isolated to scattered showers in the north. are
in the forecast Tuesday. For Wednesday through the rest of the
week, temperatures are expected to warm into the 70s by the
weekend with dry conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday night. Light rain and snow
showers are being seen moving across mainly northern Nevada this
morning. Light amounts of less than 0.10 inches are being reported
by remote observation platforms. Models are showing light
scattered showers continuing across areas mainly north of the US
Highway 50 corridor for this afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms are
also possible with a strike or two along the border with Idaho.
Winds will be out of the northwest and gusty especially on the
lee-side of mountains. Speeds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph
are expected, though some locally strong wind gusts to 50 mph are
possible. High temperatures will be on the chilly side with
readings in the 40s and 50s. Isolated showers will remain across
northern Elko county tonight with overnight low temperatures in
the 20s.

For Wednesday and Wednesday night, the flow will remain northerly
through this period as a closed low pressure system spins over
the Midwestern United States with upper ridging along the west
coast states. Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected in
northern Nevada with partly to mostly sunny skies over central
Nevada. Afternoon highs will remain below normal with readings in
the 50s and 60s. Winds will once again be breezy with gusts of 30
to 35 mph in the afternoon. By Wednesday night, clouds will
scatter out over much of the area with lows in the 20s and 30s.

.LONG TERM...Thursday through next Tuesday

Low pressure trough draped across the Four Corners region into the
North-Central Plains will promote a gusty northeast wind across
much of northern and central Nevada but otherwise quiet weather
across the area. There is a slight chance for hit amd miss shower
activity but it`s less than 10% statewide. Quiet weather will
persist with warming temperatures Friday through the weekend
across the area. Temperatures will warm well into the 70s and
lower 80s by Sunday with warm temperatures continuing through
early next week. Lows will warm similarly with lows by early next
week only dropping into the 40s and 50s. A weak low pressure area
across the desert southwest may bring a few showers and isolated
thunderstorms to the area Monday and Tuesday afternoon but
significant precipitation is not expected. Gusty outflow winds
will be the main concern for these high-based showers Monday and
Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...A cold front will bring VCSH, -SHRA, and -SHSN
to northern terminals KWMC, KBAM, and KEKO respectively from 09Z
to 11Z this morning, and lasting through most of the morning.
VCSH including a mix of snow and graupel showers at KEKO is likely
to last thru the afternoon. Showers dissipate this evening. MVFR
conditions are forecast at times and brief periods of IFR may be
possible under stronger showers. Central Nevada terminals KTPH and
KELY are expected to remain dry. Breezy winds Tuesday with W-NW
gusts 20-25 knots or higher at all terminals.

KWMC remains AMD NOT SKED due to a communications issue.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks,
and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to seasonal
snow melt. Modest increases have been noted in faster responding
creeks and streams due to recent rainfall and snowfall. Increased
flows may additionally be noted on other streams and rivers over
the next several days. However, cool temperatures through the first
half of the week will continue to help mitigate high elevation
snow melt and subsequent runoff.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and
is forecast remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Humboldt River at Comus resides in minor flood stage and is
forecast to remain in minor flood stage for the next few days
while gradually decreasing. The river is forecast to fall into
action stage mid week.

Wildhorse Dam currently resides in action stage and is forecast
to remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Owyhee River near Mountain City resides near action stage.
The river is forecast to continue to range in and out of action
stage for the next several days.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

86/93/93