Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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FNUS73 KDLH 271252
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Alworth Lake Fire...MNCC Dispatch
National Weather Service Duluth MN
752 AM CDT Tue Jul 27 2021

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on July 27.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast...
please call the National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny skies are expected today with winds of 2 to 5 mph
variable in direction. Temperatures today will reach 82 degrees
and afternoon humidity will dip to 35 percent. There is a chance
of showers and isolated storms before sunrise Wednesday morning.
The chance of showers and storms will continue through the
remainder of Wednesday. A few storms may be strong to severe with
large hail and gusty winds the main threat.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 2 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the north early
                    in the afternoon becoming north around 2 mph
                    with gusts to around 7 mph early in the
                    afternoon shifting to the west around 3 mph
                    with gusts to around 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 2 to 3 mph shifting to the west 3 to
                    5 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2800-21100 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair (26500 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............63  67  70  74  76  78  80  82  82  82
RH..............75  65  59  53  50  43  41  35  35  35
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   N   N   N   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.4   4   4   5   5   6   7   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.5 2.3 3.6 4.9 6.0 6.5 6.7 7.0 6.6
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   5   7   10  12  20  20  21  27

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy, then becoming mostly cloudy. A
                    slight chance of showers overnight. A chance of
                    showers after 3 am. Chance of showers 40
                    percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 3 mph with gusts to
                    around 8 mph shifting to the south around 4 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL decreasing to 1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 mph shifting to the south 5 to 14
                    mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6700-24700 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    poor (5700 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............80     73     65     62     59     59
RH..............36     51     70     75     83     87
20 ft wind......SW 3   S 3    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 4
20 ft wind gust.8      8      8      6      7      9
Mix hgt (ft)....6200   1500   500    400    500    300
Transport wind..W 5    S 6    S 8    S 7    S 14   S 6
SDspl kt-ft/100025     8      3      3      6      2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers likely through the day.
                    Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then a
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 4 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up to
                    13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 2700 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 18 mph shifting to the west
                    around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3200-14000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair (32300 knot-ft) late in the morning.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          LIKELY    LIKELY    CHANCE
Temp............60        69        78        82
RH..............93        81        64        56
20 FT wind......S 4G9     S 6G11    S 6G11    SW 7G11
Mix hgt (ft)....400       800       1900      2500
Transport wind..S 12      S 16      SW 18     W 14
SDspl kt-ft/10004         11        31        31

$$

Forecaster...Kevin
Requested by...Mike Tam
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2116454.0/DLH
.DELDT 07/27/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.25
.EMAIL mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov


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