


Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
232 FNUS74 KEPZ 152011 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Turkeyfeather...U.S. Forest Service National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 211 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on July 16. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Afternoon monsoonal thunderstorms persist each day through the weekend. Winds stay relatively light each afternoon at 5 to 10 mph with light drainage winds overnight outside of thunderstorm outflows. Best thunderstorm chances will be tomorrow and Thursday with good chances (60-70%) Friday and Saturday. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely early in the afternoon. Rain showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. Max temperature.....76-81. Min humidity........29-34 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 11 to 13 mph shifting to the west late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (77500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........46 54 54 63 73 73 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE Chc of pcpn (%). 5 8 14 62 90 75 Temp............53 62 70 76 78 77 RH..............74 58 40 32 35 36 20 ft wind......NW 4 NW 5 NW 5 W 6 W 6 W 6 20 ft wind gust.12 13 13 14 14 14 Mix hgt (ft)....1000 2000 6500 9700 3500 2500 Transport wind..N 13 N 13 NE 11 NE 11 W 8 W 8 Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 25 53 70 24 16 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD POOR POOR .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .SATURDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .SUNDAY... Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ Forecaster...SLUSHER Requested by...Donavan Albert Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2518040.0/EPZ .DELDT 07/15/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL donavan_albert@firenet.gov