Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1
000
FNUS72 KFFC 301040
FWSFFC

Spot Forecast for CFLWMA Hilliard C13...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
640 AM EDT Fri Jul 30 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on July 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
No fire weather concerns today through tonight. However,
abnormally high temperatures both afternoons combined with high
dewpoints will create heat index values of nearly 105F with light
west to northwest winds. A heat advisory is in effect from 11 AM
this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for the burn site. Tonight
lows will remain warm and fall to the upper 70s. Wetting rains
won`t return to the area until Sunday as cold front moves through
the area shifting winds to the north- northwest.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Dewpoint............70.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (55900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................23 increasing to 40 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 57 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 45 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......25.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  19  20  17  17  12  10  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............87  90  94  95  97  98  98  98
Dewpoint........72  72  71  70  69  69  68  68
RH..............62  54  48  44  41  39  38  38
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   7   7   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 3.8 4.3 5.3 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.6
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   9   9   9   10  9
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............23  36  44  55  59  44  46  45
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20  26  32  43  48  50  54  56
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Dewpoint............70.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................37 decreasing to 2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......25.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15  21  34  33  29  27  25  22  20  21  24  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............96  94  90  88  85  83  82  80  79  79  78  77
Dewpoint........68  69  70  70  70  71  71  71  71  71  72  72
RH..............41  45  51  56  62  66  70  74  77  79  81  84
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 2.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5
ADI.............37  3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..43  16  2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1500, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Dewpoint............72.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 9 mph increasing to 12 to 13 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (67200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 increasing to 58.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......20 decreasing to 15 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 20 late in the morning increasing
                    to 25 late in the morning decreasing to 20
                    decreasing to 15 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 12 decreasing to 6.0 late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  19  16  14  10  7   11  19  23  32  32  35
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  30  30  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3
Temp............77  77  79  83  88  92  95  97  98  98  98  96
Dewpoint........72  72  73  73  74  74  73  72  72  71  71  71
RH..............85  87  81  72  63  55  49  46  43  42  43  45
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.4   4   4   4   5   6   7   8   10  10  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.8 3.8 4.5 5.6 6.1 6.3 6.2 5.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   3   6   7   8   9   9   12  13  13
LVORI...........5   6   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............1   2   3   7   19  32  43  42  44  51  58  58
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   1   1   6   18  23  30  44  52  55  63  67
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD
Ceiling (kft)...20  20  15  20  25  25  20  15  12  6.0 6.0 6.0

$$
Forecaster...Pazos
Requested by...Michael Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2116598.0/FFC
.DELDT 07/30/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL mvthomps@gmail.com


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.