Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 200926
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for KP 47...Florida Park Servcie
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
526 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds near the burn perimeter will be light at less than 5 mph this
morning into early afternoon. The light flow will result in somewhat
variable direction, mainly between NW and NE.  Winds will become more
consistently near 10 mph from the ENE by late this afternoon into
tonight. There will be a chance of showers tonight, with rain chances
increasing over the weekend.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1800 ft AGL increasing to 4500-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 1 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 34.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  17  17  17  31  31  31  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  77  80  82  85  85  85  85
RH..............71  58  52  49  45  45  45  45
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   6   6   6   7   8   9
20 FT wind gust.                        10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.5 3.1 3.6 4.2 4.5 4.8 5.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NW  NW  N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   2   1   2   3   6
Dispersion idx..11  15  13  10  6   12  19  34

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2700-3900 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1500 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 17 mph decreasing to 6 to 7 mph
                    late in the evening.
Dispersion index....42 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........31     59     59     59     78     78
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............83     76     71     68     67     67
RH..............49     64     79     90     93     93
20 ft wind......NE 10  NE 12  NE 9   NE 8   NE 7   NE 7
20 ft wind gust.15     15     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....3900   1500   700    300    300    300
Transport wind..NE 10  E 17   NE 12  NE 6   NE 7   NE 6
Dispersion idx..38     19     10     4      5      4
LVORI...........1      2      4      6      6      6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1300 ft AGL increasing to 2400-3600 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 16 mph increasing to 17 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 44.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........78           66           70
Weather cov.....CHANCE       CHANCE       CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30           40           40
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............67           75           79
RH..............93           74           62
20 FT wind......NE 7         E 10G15      E 12G15
Mix hgt (ft)....300          2400         3600
Transport wind..NE 7         E 15         E 17
Dispersion idx..5            42           45
LVORI...........6            3            1

$$
Forecaster...Glitto
Requested by...Jen Benson-Hughes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807125.0/MLB
.EMAIL jennifer.bensonhughes@dep.state.fl.us


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