Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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000
FNUS72 KRAH 260909
FWSRAH

Spot Forecast for Long Valley Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
509 AM EDT Mon Jul 26 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on July 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact this NWS office if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A surface trough will will settle into NC this afternoon and
evening, then waver across the region through Wednesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Temperature.........83 at ignition...Max 93.
RH..................72 percent at ignition...Min 47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    southwest 5 to 6 mph early in the morning, then
                    becoming light in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................8 increasing to 16 late in the morning.
Pcpn amount.........0.11 inches.
Visibility..........9.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........47  46  56  47  41  42  39  36  43  47  48  52
Weather cov.....                                SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  30  30  40
Temp............74  75  77  80  83  86  88  90  91  92  92  91
RH..............90  90  87  79  72  63  57  54  50  49  47  49
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.8   8   10  10  7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.0 3.0 4.1 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.6   3   6   7   7   5   3   5   3   3   3   5
LVORI...........6   6   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............3   3   12  12  12  16  16  16  15  15  15  15
Visibility (sm).9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    overnight. Slight chance of showers after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Temperature.........Min 74.
RH..................Max 94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 6 mph
                    early in the evening becoming light. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................15 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
Pcpn amount.........0.27 inches.
Visibility..........9 decreasing to 7 overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  74  85  85  87  84  73  71  69  66  66  66
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH         SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW          RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  50  50  40  30  30  20  10  10  20  20
Temp............90  88  86  83  81  80  79  78  77  76  76  76
RH..............52  57  63  74  79  82  85  88  90  94  94  94
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..5   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   8   10  8   8   7   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   7   7   9   8   8   6   5   8   8   8   6
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   8
ADI.............15  15  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   7   7   7   7

$$
Forecaster...STRICKLER
Requested by...Nathan A Burmester
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2116400.0/RAH
.DELDT 07/26/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL nathan.burmester@tnc.org


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