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000
FXUS65 KVEF 150856
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
156 AM PDT Mon Apr 15 2024

.SYNOPSIS...A low pressure system will pull away from the area
today leading to an extended period of dry conditions, warmer
temperatures, and occasional breezy winds. From midweek through
the weekend, high temperatures will be well above normal region
wide.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Monday through next Sunday.

A quiet weather period will be in place through midweek with the
weekend system moving east of us today and the next system is
forecast to remain to our north. For us, that means dry weather,
light winds, and warmer temperatures.

For today, we will see some gusty northwest winds - mainly north
of Las Vegas and also in the Morongo Basin in southcentral San
Bernardino County. The northern parts of the Las Vegas Valley
could also see some gusty northwest winds today. After a cool day
across the region yesterday, temperatures today will be warmer but
remain several degrees below normal. Tuesday, we will see high
temperatures above normal and light winds. Further warming is
expected for Wednesday but we will also see gusty southwest winds
develop in parts of the area due to a system moving from the
Pacific Northwest to the northern Rockies.

More of the same for late in the week and heading into next
weekend with high temperatures forecast to remain steady around
4-6 degrees above normal Thursday through Saturday. On Sunday, our
forecast high in Las Vegas is 90 degrees based off the latest
deterministic NBM. However, NBM probabilities for Sunday give us
only a 40% chance of reaching 90 degrees given the relatively high
with increasing model spread. Basically the same story applies to
Death Valley and the generally low probability of it reaching its
first 100 degree day. Regardless of what the high temperature
ends up being, the weekend is expected to be a weather system
free weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...Lighter southerly winds at the terminal
early this morning. But, winds are expected to turn to a more west-
to-northwest direction around 16Z and continue through 23Z.
Sustained speeds will range between 8-12 kts with gusts up to 18 kts
at times. The late afternoon west-to-northwest winds will shift back
more southerly by late evening. SCT-BKN150 through 16Z this morning
will give way to mostly clear skies throughout the remainder of the
day. There will be some high clouds above 20 kft tonight.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwestern Arizona, and
southeastern California...Upper low over southern Utah will continue
to move east into the central and southern Rockies today. Ceilings
12 kft to 15 kft MSL will continue through 16Z-18Z with skies
becoming mostly clear there after. Another area of clouds above 15
kft expected tonight. Northerly surface winds favored across
southern Nevada and Inyo County California through out the period.
Primarily a westerly wind across the western Mojave Desert and
lighter winds in the lower Colorado River from KIFP to to KHII.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Salmen
AVIATION...Pierce

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