Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
883
WUUS01 KWNS 150554
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2025

VALID TIME 151200Z - 161200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40989970 41220134 41740182 42350180 43150061 43779945
       44419778 44559691 43929643 42609651 41969714 41509832
       40989970
0.02   46969143 47298859 46828742 46288832 45459081 45199321
       45759465 46469461 46959295 47019189 46969143
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48618889 47078621 46368612 45788741 44939103 44699243
       44019444 43059558 42169631 40949690 39959772 39310140
       40550395 41640575 42200751 42900910 43320988 43871211
       44231306 44931275 45211226 45271057 45050823 44830552
       44570359 44120280 43430270 43210230 44170132 45150030
       46689599 48499125
0.15   44469868 45299736 46399496 46939319 47109172 46739039
       47148869 46788820 46448846 46049035 45679226 45089455
       44119641 43099789 41699913 40519984 40450106 41190191
       41870196 42360164 42920104 43709992 44469868
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   31271258 32831223 33261177 33501066 33250944 32090912
       30800917
0.05   47198381 46208624 45638758 44649142 43229354 41899451
       40179496 39179649 38939903 39090091 39330275 40210443
       41760619 42110747 41930835 40250930 39201087 38641274
       39731402 39731563 40021626 40861607 42391402 42981269
       44301305 44731240 44961067 44970734 44700471 44230343
       43130275 43080204 44879923 45949680 47139359 48648848
0.15   40150177 40970217 41850206 42690080 44019903 44979741
       46619376 46969175 47488815 47068661 46238728 45719006
       45319218 44899453 44079604 43159608 41809567 40939601
       40149738 39789873 39700068 40150177
0.15   43750894 44220889 44380841 44460745 44050579 43510452
       42640445 42000571 42490739 43100845 43750894
0.30   43139829 42789759 41619788 40929837 40449979 40600068
       41150100 41780079 42789945 43139829
SIGN   43369848 43009751 41649788 40699849 39880050 40230132
       40970154 41740130 43179919 43369848
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    41780079 42789945 43139829 42789759 41619788 40929837
       40449979 40600068 41150100 41780079
SLGT   44220889 44380841 44460745 44050579 43510452 42640445
       42000571 42490739 43100845 43750894 44220889
SLGT   41850206 42920104 45299736 46399496 46939319 47109172
       47019140 47488815 47068661 46238728 44899453 44079604
       43159608 41809567 40939601 40149738 39789873 39700068
       40150177 40970217 41850206
MRGL   31301257 32831223 33261177 33501066 33250944 32090912
       30820917
MRGL   47008429 45638758 44649142 43229354 41899451 40179496
       39179649 38939903 39330275 40210443 41760619 42110747
       41930835 40250930 39201087 38641274 39731402 39731563
       40021626 40861607 42391402 42981269 44301305 44931275
       45211226 45271057 44830552 44570359 44120280 43430270
       43210230 45150030 46689599 48499125
TSTM   31431289 32421262 33111238 33731225 34191247 35151302
       36481360 38221311 39111371 39211469 38641641 38281770
       38411807 38881831 39741811 40541739 42071629 43181447
       44371508 45021512 45391542 45671583 45991622 46661646
       47291613 48041537 48551432 48651301 48541148 48361033
       48330603 48660244 48199768 48609410 49609250 99999999
       46078298 44588592 44008654 43618651 43238640 42828598
       42468470 41228170 40937921 41117542 41347376 41347241
       41216916 99999999 28099529 29309741 30019866 29939934
       29659993 28549995 27379983
TSTM   37380077 35580308 34290355 32930352 32730273 33640003
       35149804 35599744 37469509 37939478 38469624 38459844
       37380077

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE
MHN 30 ENE ANW 45 SSW MHE 15 SW YKN 30 WNW OLU GRI 45 ENE MCK 30 N
MCK 15 W LBF 25 SE MHN.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE
COD 30 ESE COD 30 SW SHR 25 SSW GCC 70 NE DGW 45 NNW TOR 45 N LAR 50
NNW RWL RIW 50 WSW WRL 20 SSE COD.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE
AIA 25 W VTN 30 NNW ATY 40 W BRD 35 SSW HIB 15 WSW BFW 15 S BFW 25
NE CMX 60 NE MQT 25 SE MQT 35 NE RWF 35 NW OTG 45 SW OTG 20 SW DNS
25 SSW OMA 35 WSW BIE 60 SSW HSI 35 S MCK 25 SSW IML 40 NW IML 40
ESE AIA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110
WSW TUS 30 ESE GBN 20 SE PHX 65 SW SOW 30 NNE SAD 50 NNE DUG 50 SSE
DUG.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N
ANJ 25 WSW ESC 15 S EAU 10 WNW MCW 45 E DNS 30 N STJ 10 ENE MHK 10
WNW RSL 25 WNW ITR 35 ESE FCL 40 NW LAR 25 NNW RWL 45 ENE RKS 15 SE
VEL 30 SSW PUC 20 NE MLF 55 NE ELY 25 NE P68 40 NNW P68 15 W EKO 15
SW BYI PIH 40 WSW MQM 25 SSW DLN 15 E DLN 30 S LVM 35 N GCC 45 NW
RAP 15 ENE RAP 45 NNE CDR 50 ENE CDR 25 SSE MBG 10 SSW DTL 50 NE
ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 S GBN 35 S GBN 20
NE GBN 25 NNW PHX 30 S PRC 50 NW PRC 40 S SGU 15 SSW MLF 60 NW MLF
10 SE ELY 55 NE TPH 35 WNW TPH 60 WNW TPH 50 SSE NFL 35 SE LOL 30 W
BAM 10 NW OWY 25 SSW SUN 60 SE MYL 50 ENE MYL 50 NE MYL 35 SSW P69
30 WSW P69 30 E PUW 40 WSW 3TH 30 N 3TH 15 N GPI 30 W CTB 40 E CTB
30 WSW HVR 25 NW OLF 60 WNW MOT 30 NW GFK 30 W INL 80 NNE INL
...CONT... 70 ESE ANJ 20 WSW TVC 25 SW MBL 35 NNW MKG 10 WNW MKG 25
W GRR 20 NW JXN 15 SSE CLE 25 SW DUJ 20 SE AVP 20 SSE POU 20 W GON
45 E ACK ...CONT... 70 S LBX 45 NW VCT 35 NNW SAT 40 NNW HDO 50 WNW
HDO 45 W COT 25 WSW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE LBL 40 NE TCC
15 WSW CVS 25 NW HOB 30 E HOB 55 SSE CDS CHK 15 NE OKC 25 SE CNU 40
ENE CNU 10 NNW EMP 35 SE RSL 25 NNE LBL.