Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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446
WUUS01 KWNS 181926
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025

VALID TIME 182000Z - 191200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   41479669 41249876 41129991 41380070 41870066 42819979
       43859839 44959682 45179544 44799366 43629208 42629184
       41839220 41459306 41309446 41479669
0.05   43239831 43899747 44329650 44429571 44279513 43789466
       43249453 42729455 42219502 41999620 42219711 42699849
       43239831
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   40860230 41510440 42890707 44630849 45570926 45730907
       45760821 44490502 42920259 42750164 42730098 43020036
       44319920 45679774 45989625 45709440 44138981 43628956
       42678953 41959012 40479191 39689314 39299468 39639617
       40109702 40589875 40720058 40860230
0.15   41860021 42340010 43359852 44979680 44989563 44649471
       43609390 42869378 42379421 42169504 41559725 41179898
       41300012 41860021
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   39309560 40099699 40599875 40700051 40850229 41520442
       41670804 41911079 41831141 40951257 39251280 38631375
       39521483 40541509 42621460 43771404 44501348 45581166
       45760821 44510498 42880253 42670166 42650099 42960023
       44699765 45209677 45469419 44879220 43809026 42688955
       41599009 40659097 39869215 39459321 39089458 39309560
0.05   34267599 34677838 35308032 35768279 35678966 36009152
       36789210 37449221 37959151 38049020 37868763 38138449
       38618161 39457838 39007686 37917580 37317504
0.15   44719466 42319184 41859197 41379261 41219351 41329615
       41389734 41189897 41260015 41870015 42299963 42819887
       43239808 43839724 44489675 44869625 44979591 44979578
       44719466
0.15   38437741 37637638 36657549 36007574 35587647 35247735
       35597850 36247984 36748046 37368036 38377911 38627819
       38437741
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   37368036 38377911 38627819 38437741 37637638 36657549
       36007574 35587647 35247735 35597850 36247984 36748046
       37368036
SLGT   42340010 43359852 44979680 44989563 44719466 42319184
       41859197 41379261 41219351 41389734 41179898 41260015
       41860021 42340010
MRGL   34267599 34677838 35308032 35768279 35678966 36009152
       36789210 37449221 37959151 38049020 37868763 38138449
       38618161 39457838 39007686 37917580 37317504
MRGL   42621460 43771404 44501348 45581166 45760821 44510498
       42920259 42750164 42730098 43020036 44319920 45679774
       45989625 45709440 44138981 43628956 42678953 41599009
       40659097 39869215 39459321 39089458 39309560 40109701
       40589875 40850229 41520442 41670804 41911079 41831141
       40951257 39251280 38631375 39521483 40541509 42621460
TSTM   32681842 33621821 34231831 35151826 36301900 37491942
       38011923 38851849 40591710 43461548 44481451 45401381
       46451201 47171128 47431138 48171214 49441493 99999999
       31251180 32251221 32921270 33311340 33391386 33381444
       33091510 32661520 32211533 99999999 28159544 28409558
       28659734 29049763 29699748 30109676 30739625 34529462
       35549480 35849511 36109596 36109687 35929764 35849907
       35889962 36349999 36770023 37030059 37130081 37120106
       36990140 35390195 34010239 31380311 30250360 29240506
TSTM   49570739 47200411 46210285 45950177 45930091 46110032
       46379956 47029890 47839776 48109668 48519420 48519208
       47978928 46768686 45448520 45198515 44758524 44048578
       42878678 41838814 41398838 41128840 40858807 40578745
       40397686 39917554 39007469 38697453 38397407

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W
ROA 15 WNW SHD 35 NNE CHO 35 SW DCA 45 S NHK 45 ESE ORF 30 SE ECG 50
NE EWN 20 NW EWN 25 SE RDU 10 NNE GSO 30 SSE PSK 20 W ROA.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW
ANW 40 SW MHE 15 ENE ATY 40 NW RWF 25 ENE RWF 30 NNW CID 15 W CID 20
NNW OTM 20 WSW OXV OLU 30 N EAR 30 ENE LBF 40 NW BBW 20 SSW ANW.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW
HSE 35 SE FAY 35 E CLT 10 S HSS 25 SSW DYR 20 NNE BVX 15 W UNO 20
SSW TBN 20 SE VIH 20 NE FAM 15 SSW EVV 10 NE LEX 15 N CRW 20 W MRB
15 NE DCA 20 W WAL 50 SSE WAL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW
TWF 25 NE SUN 45 SSE SMN 30 WSW BZN 15 E BIL 30 ENE GCC 25 ENE CDR
55 W VTN 25 WSW VTN 15 NE VTN 40 N 9V9 35 ENE ABR 40 W AXN 20 WNW
STC 25 ENE VOK 35 NNW MSN 25 W JVL 25 ENE MLI 10 SE BRL 25 SE IRK 30
SE CDJ MKC 15 N TOP 20 SW BIE 15 SE EAR 40 ESE SNY 35 NE CYS 45 WSW
RWL 45 NNE EVW 45 NNW EVW 35 WSW OGD 15 WSW U24 40 WNW MLF 15 N ELY
40 ESE EKO 10 NNW TWF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 W SAN 15 SSW LGB
20 NNE LAX 25 NW EDW 50 SE FAT 50 NNE FAT 65 NW BIH 45 SSE NFL 10 W
BAM 40 E BOI 55 SW SMN 20 N SMN 10 S HLN 20 S GTF GTF 35 SSE CTB 85
NNW GPI ...CONT... 80 SW TUS 55 SSE GBN GBN 50 WNW GBN 50 ESE BLH 25
SE BLH 35 ENE IPL 25 ESE IPL 45 SSE IPL ...CONT... 65 SE PSX 45 ESE
PSX 30 NE NIR 45 WNW VCT 35 E BAZ 40 SW CLL 10 NE CLL 35 S RKR 30
WNW FSM 20 NE MKO 10 SSW TUL 25 N CQB 35 SSE END 35 N CSM 45 NNW CSM
75 SE LBL 45 ESE LBL 20 E LBL 10 NE LBL LBL 20 NNE GUY 20 NW AMA 40
WSW PVW 30 S INK 25 ESE MRF 100 SW MRF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 NNW GGW 35 E GDV
40 WNW Y22 20 E Y22 35 NW MBG 40 N MBG 55 SW JMS 10 WNW JMS 30 WSW
GFK 25 W TVF 35 W INL 45 NNW ELO 50 ENE GNA 35 ENE MQT 20 WSW PLN 30
SSW PLN 15 E TVC 30 ESE MBL 35 SW MKG 40 NE MMO 15 E MMO 20 SE MMO
50 SE MMO 25 NNE DNV 10 N CXY 15 WNW PHL 30 S ACY 55 S ACY 80 E SBY.