Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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000
FXUS63 KGID 210919
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
419 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 344 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

The 500mb upper level low will slowly track from southeastern
Colorado this morning into northeastern Oklahoma by Sunday
morning. This southern track supports most of the noteworthy
rainfall of more than 0.10 inches falling across Kansas and
primarily south of our forecast area today into tonight. We did
have a good burst of rain overnight across much of the area and
that was likely the heaviest rain we will see from this system
with just light scattered rain expected around the area today into
tonight. However, it will remain overcast and cool with very
little rise in our temperatures today. Most areas will hold in the
upper 40s or lower 50s for highs.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 344 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Sunday and Monday...
We will be in between storm systems with the Oklahoma upper low
tracking into Tennessee and the next short wave trough tracking
from the pacific northwest into Wyoming. This will make for dry
and warmer weather. High temperatures on Sunday should climb back
into the upper 50s to near 60 although there could still be a good
many clouds around. Monday could be the best day of the week with
highs actually close to normal in the mid 60s, light winds, and
at least partly sunny skies.

Monday night through Tuesday night...
We`ll see the next shortwave track southeast across the region
bringing a cold front and chance for rain. This appears to be
another minor rain event as the deeper gulf moisture will be cut
off and unavailable for this system. Highs on Tuesday will
probably fall back down into the 50s.

Wednesday...Another break between storm systems and with some
sunshine we could possibly touch 60 degrees again in a number of
locations.

Thursday...The next upper trough swings southeast out of Canada
and across our region. There is very little moisture to work with
so just low end chances for a little light rain. The model blend
says highs in the lower 60s, but that may be too warm, watch to
see if these highs fall with future updates depending on the
strength of the cold front.

Friday into next weekend...Technically next weekend is just beyond
the end of the forecast period, but given the stretch of basically
5 cold/below normal weekends in a row, I wanted to say that
perhaps this last weekend in April might finally be a nice one if
current trends hold. It appears that we could see an upper level
ridge over the area that would bring dry weather and highs that
should be near to maybe even a little above normal for a change.
It could be a close call though on timing of another shortwave by
Sunday. We`ll see, but right now looking like perhaps finally a
nice weekend.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Sunday)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Rain has spread across the region but the visibility has stayed up
around 6SM or better thus far in most locations. The ceilings have
lowered some and range from MVFR to low end VFR. Expect the
ceilings will continue to fluctuate, with the overall trend to be
predominantly MVFR on Saturday, although we could also slip into
IFR ceilings at times. The wind has been a little gusty with the
present showers, but is not expected to be very strong through
most of the day. The wind will generally be out of the east.


&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Wesely
LONG TERM...Wesely
AVIATION...Wesely


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