Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
173 FXUS64 KMRX 090539 AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 1239 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1232 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026 - Warmer temperatures are expected this week with highs mainly in the 50s and 60s in the Tennessee Valley through Thursday. - Precipitation chances return Tuesday night/Wednesday, then again late in the week with rain being the predominant precipitation type. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1232 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026 A ridge is building into the Central and eastern U.S. today. At the surface, high pressure is over the East Coast bringing southerly low level flow to the region. Temperatures will be much warmer this week with highs mainly in the 50s but Tuesday will be the warmest day with highs in the 60s in the northern and central TN Valley and highs in the lower 70s in the southern Valley. Dry weather will be in place until the next system approaches Tuesday night and Wednesday as a low near the Great Lakes brings a cold front through the region. All rain is expected with this system and instability will be too low for thunder. Drying out for Wednesday afternoon and Thursday. Near normal temps are expected through the weekend. Rain chances return for the weekend as a low slowly moves through the Southeast. Precip type will be all rain except for the possibility of some flakes in the higher elevations. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026 VFR with dry conditions through late tonight. Varying mid to high clouds. Ridging building in, along with SFC high pressure shifting east, will flip the wind direction out of the S to SW during the afternoon at CHA and TYS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 65 46 73 51 / 0 0 0 50 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 60 43 68 46 / 0 0 10 60 Oak Ridge, TN 59 41 68 44 / 0 0 10 60 Tri Cities Airport, TN 50 34 61 40 / 0 0 0 60 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION...McD AVIATION...KS