Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 200812
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon humidity values will drop to around 30 percent across
much of eastern Tennessee, southwest Virginia, and southwest
North Carolina. As a result, fire weather concerns will be
somewhat elevated today. The silver lining is that winds are
not expected to be very high, thus negating the need for any
fire weather headlines at this time. Similar conditions will
be seen on Saturday as well.

Rain chances will increase on Sunday and into early next week
which should lower any fire weather concerns.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210915-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+13)  31-36 (+3)   62-67
RH % (24h trend)      22-27 (-23)  73-78 (-3)   26-31
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           6                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      5900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3100                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)   N  8                      W  2
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    40800                     11800
Dispersion            22 Fair                   7 Poor
Max LVORI             4                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  6                      S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  8         NE  5        LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210915-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (+11)  31-36 (+4)   60-65
RH % (24h trend)      22-27 (-23)  70-75 (-4)   28-33
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      6000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2300                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)   N  9                      S  3
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    45900                     18000
Dispersion            19 Gen poor               8 Poor
Max LVORI             3                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  6                      S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  8         NE  5        LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-210915-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (+10)  33-38 (+5)   59-64
RH % (24h trend)      22-27 (-20)  74-79 (+1)   33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NE  7 G20                 SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  7 G16     E  5         LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      5800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2000                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)   N 10                      N  3
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    50000                     17400
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               7 Poor
Max LVORI             3                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  9 G20                 SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  9         E  7         N  5

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s to lower
50s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. East
winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
40s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 40s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-210915-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+11)  36-41 (+6)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      25-30 (-11)  76-81 (+1)   32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      5700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2600                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   N  8                      SE  5
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    36800                     28500
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               16 Gen poor
Max LVORI             3                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  8         NE  6        SE  5

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to 60s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. East winds
5 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. East winds
5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-210915-
Nantahala National Forest-
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+13)  35-40 (+7)   63-68
RH % (24h trend)      22-27 (-15)  78-83 (-3)   32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      5700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2400                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  6                     SE  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    27600                     39900
Dispersion            12 Poor                   21 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        NE  5        S  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to 60s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. East
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210915-
East Tennessee District East-
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+12)  33-38 (+4)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      23-28 (-14)  77-82 (-2)   29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      5900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3500                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)   N  7                      W  1
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    35000                     5900
Dispersion            20 Gen poor               5 Very poor
Max LVORI             3                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  5                     E  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. East
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210915-
East Tennessee District West-
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+12)  34-39 (+3)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      24-29 (-12)  76-81 (-2)   31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NE  6 G15                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      5700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3500                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     S  2
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    37600                     11400
Dispersion            26 Fair                   7 Poor
Max LVORI             3                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  7 G15                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  8        NE  5        LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Light winds
becoming southeast less than 10 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
upper 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
East winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. East winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-210915-
Cumberland District South-
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018 /312 AM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+12)  37-42 (+5)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      24-29 (-9)   77-82 (+1)   32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NE  7 G19                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      5600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3300                      4400
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     SE  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    35200                     44800
Dispersion            24 Fair                   29 Fair
Max LVORI             3                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  9 G19                 E  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  7        NE  5        SE  5

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. East
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows near 50. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. East
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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