801
FNUS51 KBUF 152005
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will maintain fair weather tonight. Heat and
humidity will build Wednesday and Thursday and it will also
turn more unsettled with scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are expected, with locally heavy rainfall
possible. Drier weather should return by Friday.

NYZ201-160800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           30           50           60
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           30           50           50
Min/Max Temp                       65           90           67           88
Max/Min Humidity (%)               97           44          100           62
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     SW  5
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var        SW  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.13         0.20         0.10
Precip Duration                                  1            2            5
Precip Begin                                  2 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6440                      4880
Transport Wind (kts)            SE  4        SW  9         S  9        SW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        57960            0       122000
Dispersion Index                    0           58            0          122
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-160800-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           50           60           70
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           50           50           50
Min/Max Temp                       66           87           67           86
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           51          100           58
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     SW  6
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var         W  9
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.24         0.23         0.08
Precip Duration                                  1            6            5
Precip Begin                                  2 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6080                      5900
Transport Wind (kts)             E  3        SW 10         S 11         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        60800            0       147500
Dispersion Index                    0           61            0          148
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs around 80.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...East around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$