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807
FXUS61 KCAR 242300
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
600 PM EST Fri Jan 24 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure builds overhead through Saturday. A cold front
crosses the area Sunday followed by another cold front later
Monday. A cold front crosses the area Tuesday with low pressure
to pass south of the area Wednesday.
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&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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6 PM Update: Satellite pictures show a clear sky across the CWA
early this evening. A few hints of isolated patches of stratus
developing off the Saint Lawrence River and moving into the
Saint John Valley, but coverage of these clouds looks to remain
low. Overall, the ongoing forecast is in good shape with only
minor tweaks tonight based on the latest satellite pictures and
temperature trends.

Previous discussion:
Trough shifts into the waters towards our east, as a ridge
builds in from the west. Few low-level clouds hang around in
the north as NW winds bring moisture over from the St. Laurence.
Skies should clear up overnight, providing good conditions for
temperatures to drop fast. Expecting five to ten below in
northern counties, with spots in the north woods seeing colder
spots. Winds stay relatively light from the W/NW. Tomorrow will
be mostly clear throughout Maine, with high temperatures in the
mid teens in the north, and low-20s along the coast. Not
expecting any significant precipitation in this near term
period.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Increasing clouds expected Saturday night in advance of an
approaching short wave trough from the Great Lakes region.
Increasing clouds and light southerly flow should prevent ideal
radiational cooling. That being said, lows will still range from
close to zero across the colder northern valleys to around 10 above
for the coast. Clouds continue to increase during Sunday with the
chance of snow showers by afternoon. The short wave exits
through the Maritimes Sunday night with partly to mostly cloudy
skies. Lows Sunday night will be milder than those of recent
nights, generally 5 to 10 above north and mid teens for Bangor
and Downeast. Yet another short wave will approach the region on
Monday and bring the chance for snow showers to northern
portions of the region by afternoon. Highs on Monday will be
above normal for this time of year, generally in the mid 20s
north and around 30 degrees for the Bangor region and Downeast.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Cold front approaches Monday night and crosses the region during
Tuesday. Expect the chance for snow showers with the front,
especially across northern areas. Highs are expected to top out
in the mid 20s across the north and lower 30s for Bangor and
Downeast prior to the frontal passage. A clipper type system is
expected to dive southeast through the Great Lakes region
Tuesday night and move through New England on Wednesday. There
has been a bit of a northward shift in the track of this feature
compared to yesterday. Latest GFS/EC/CMC have the low tracking
east through the Gulf of Maine. The NBM pops looked too low, so
in collaboration with neighboring office raised pops into the
chance category Wednesday through Wednesday evening, especially
for Bangor and Downeast. It will plenty cold enough for all
snow throughout the region. As the low intensifies and exits at
this time. through the Maritimes Wednesday night and Thursday,
expect winds to pick up. This could result in some blowing snow
issues by then. But since this is still way out in time, will
not include mention yet. Also, a shot of arctic air is expected
behind this system by late week, with cold weather headlines
certainly a possibility as well. High pressure but continued
cold temperatures are expected to close out the work week.
Afternoon highs on Tuesday are expected to be above normal, then
well below normal mid to late week.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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NEAR TERM: VFR, except low confidence of MVFR ceilings at times
tonight at KFVE. W/NW wind 10 knots or less.

SHORT TERM:

Sat night...VFR. Light South wind.

Sun...VFR, except MVFR or lower possible in sct afternoon snow
showers.

Sun night...VFR.

Mon through Tue...MVFR or lower possible in snow showers.

Wednesday...MVFR or lower in snow. Gusty N to NW possible.
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&&

.MARINE...
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NEAR TERM: Small Craft Advisory conditions this evening based on
wind gusts for the coastal waters with wind diminishing late
this evening. Light freezing spray tonight. Inter-coastals
forecast to have 1-3 ft seas, and outer waters forecast to see
3-4 ft seas.

SHORT TERM: SCA conditions possible Saturday night through
Sunday night. Gale Force wind gusts possible Monday through
Tuesday.
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&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ050-
     051.
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&&

$$


Near Term...Brennan/CB
Short Term...TWD
Long Term...TWD
Aviation...Brennan/CB/TWD
Marine...Brennan/CB/TWD