-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
547
FXUS64 KCRP 122310
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
610 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
-- Changed Discussion --
Updated at 605 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

- Low rain chances (20-30%) across the Coastal Plains and Victoria
  Crossroads this weekend.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Isolated to scattered rain chances remain across South Texas this
weekend, with activity generally driven by diurnal heating and sea
breeze interactions. A weak mid-level disturbance and slightly
above normal PWATs will support low chances (20-30%) for showers
and storms, particularly across the Victoria Crossroads.
Elsewhere, coverage will be more limited, with 20% PoPs or less
focused mainly along the seabreeze. Although a mid-level low will
pass across North Texas tomorrow, its influence will largely
remain to the north of our CWA, keeping local impacts minimal.

By early this next week, a gradual drying trend is expected across
South Texas as mid-level ridging builds in. This will effectively
decrease rain chances across the region beginning Tuesday. Until
then, isolated convection may persist Monday, primarily along the
seabreeze and in areas where weak mid-level vorticity may linger.

Winds will remain breezy through the rest of the weekend,
particularly in the southern Coastal Bend where gusts may reach up
to 30 mph. Temperatures will trend slightly upward, however, they
will remain near seasonal norms. Highs will generally be in the
low to mid 90s, with highs progged to reach the upper 90s to
triple digits across the Brush Country. Heat risk will respond
accordingly, ranging from mostly moderate levels to isolated areas
of major across the west where temperatures and heat indices are
likely to be highest. Overnight temperatures are expected in the
mid to upper 70s, through slightly cooler lows drift in midweek
in response to drier air filtering into the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
-- Changed Discussion --
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Seasonal diurnal pattern continues with mostly VFR conditions, but
a brief period where MVFR CIGS will develop for western sites
around sunrise. After gusty winds subside this evening, lighter
winds will develop overnight before increasing again during the
late morning on Sunday. Winds should stay a bit lower Sunday
afternoon than the past couple of days though.
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&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) southeasterly winds will continue over
the waters through Sunday, diminishing to more moderate levels
through much of next week. Low rain chances (20-30%) remain in the
forecast through Monday before mainly dry conditions persist
through the remainder of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Corpus Christi    79  93  78  92 /  10  10   0  10
Victoria          77  93  76  94 /  10  20   0  30
Laredo            78 101  78 101 /  10  10   0  10
Alice             76  96  76  96 /   0  10   0  20
Rockport          82  90  81  91 /  10  10  10  10
Cotulla           79 101  79 101 /  10  20  10  10
Kingsville        77  93  76  93 /   0  10   0  10
Navy Corpus       81  89  81  89 /  10  10   0  10
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&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...KRS/98
AVIATION...PH/83