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907
FXUS61 KCTP 170544
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
144 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
* Rain-free for most and seasonably warmer into Friday with
  areas of fog and low clouds overnight
* Another cloudy/wet start to the weekend followed by
  marginal/gradual improvement on Sunday (Saturday
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At 06z, a moist low-level easterly flow is bringing low clouds
(MVFR cigs) into portions of Central PA. At the same time, some
valley fog has formed across the northwestern highlands (in the
vicinity of BFD).

Expect the low clouds (predominantly MVFR) to continue to
expand overnight. At the same time, high clouds will begin
streaming overhead from the Ohio Valley.

Ceiling bases should gradually elevate late Friday morning.
However, an approaching warm front will spread showers (and
perhaps some thunder) and lowering cigs into the western half of
PA during the afternoon and evening hours. Latest ensemble prob
charts indicate IFR cigs will become likely (80+%) by mid
evening over the higher terrain of the Alleghenies.

Cigs are expected to drop to MVFR this evening over the central
mtns, and overnight across the Susq Valley, with rain showers
continuing.

Outlook...

Sat...Restrictive lower ceilings, rain, and fog. This is a
fairly high confidence forecast.

Sun...Morning low cigs/fog possible.

Mon...Patchy AM fog possible. Otherwise, becoming VFR.

Tue...Predominantly VFR, w/ no sig wx expected.
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&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Steinbugl
NEAR TERM...Banghoff
SHORT TERM...Steinbugl/Banghoff
LONG TERM...Guseman/Banghoff
AVIATION...Evanego