Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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000 FXUS64 KHUN 050410 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1010 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021 .UPDATE... For 06Z TAFS. && .NEAR TERM...(Rest of tonight) Issued at 904 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021 We currently have clear skies across the region tonight. Main feature to note is the low pressure system over the Texas Panhandle, which will bring increasing high and some mid-level clouds overnight into Friday morning. This as well as cooler, drier air moving in from the north will mean we aren`t expecting any fog development across the area overnight. Temperatures are expected to drop into the low-to-mid 30s across southern Middle TN and NE Alabama, while NW Alabama may stay in the upper 30s to lower 40s. .SHORT TERM...(Friday through Saturday) Issued at 200 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021 Most guidance continues keep the surface high moving further southeast into Friday. This should keep moving the surface low to the southeast and mostly cloudy conditions are expected Friday afternoon and night, no precipitation is expected with such a dry atmospheric column shown in guidance. Most of the precipitation with this surface low should remain over Arkansas, Mississippi and into the northern Gulf Coast states. It will be noticeably cooler on Friday, with highs only climbing into the lower 50s to around 60 degrees (Based on some guidance, this may be a bit optimistic). A larger area of high pressure builds back into the southeast Friday night into Saturday, behind the departing area of low pressure as it moves into the Florida peninsula. Cool nights look likely, as this airmass originates from southern Canada. Not sure climo isn`t keeping temperatures warmer than they will be in the end. As a result went slightly below guidance Friday night into Saturday especially. Lows in the lower to mid 30s and highs in the lower 50s seem reasonable overall. .LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Wednesday) Issued at 200 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021 This area of high pressure is slow to move eastward. Therefore, kept lows a bit below guidance through Monday and highs climbing with abundant sunshine from the 55 to 60 degree range on Sunday to the 60 to 65 degree range on Monday. A true warmup is expected Tuesday through the reminder of next week, as persistent return flow around the backside of the departing surface high from the Gulf of Mexico sets up over the area. Expect highs by Wednesday into Thursday to likely climb back into the mid 70s to maybe around 80 degrees again. Through this period, dry weather will continue. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night) Issued at 1010 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021 VFR conditions continue through the end of the TAF period. Will have clouds move in with cigs around 080-100agl around 21Z. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE. TN...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...McCoy SHORT TERM...KTW LONG TERM...KTW AVIATION...McCoy For more information please visit our website at is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.