


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
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-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --931 FXUS64 KHUN 010200 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 900 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .NEAR TERM...-- Changed Discussion --(Rest of tonight and Tuesday) Issued at 900 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Rain has exited all but a sliver of Lawrence and Cullman Counties. It is unlikely additional development will occur with loss of heating. Low cloud development is expected at least in some areas overnight. Given very high dew points in the lower to middle 70s, won`t totally rule out fog, but looks more likely to be low clouds at this point. A cold front was sliding southeast into the lower OH valley into the Ozarks and Red River Valley. Clusters of thunderstorms continue to develop along and near this boundary. There have been varied solutions in CAMs whether this is able to hold together before dissipating upon reaching southern TN or northwest AL before morning. At this point, this looks unlikely. However, with PWs of well over 2 inches, anything that is able to hold together will be capable of very heavy rainfall. Daytime heating will likely instigate development of thunderstorms along the cold front by midday in middle and southwest TN. These clusters will make progress southeast through the afternoon and evening hours. Plentiful moisture and instability will be available for heavy and potentially excessive rain and gusty winds. High temperatures should reach the lower to middle 80s with dew points in the middle 70s once again.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .SHORT TERM...-- Changed Discussion --(Tuesday night through Thursday) Issued at 900 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Thunderstorms along the cold front will exit our southeast counties during the early to mid evening hours. Again, excessive rainfall in localized areas will be possible. Finally, as the northwest flow shortwave trough and cold front drop southeast Tuesday night into Wednesday, deep layer northerly flow will arrive bringing a noticeable change in airmass. Dew points should drop into the upper 60s to around 70 Wednesday afternoon, and into the lower to middle 60s Wednesday night as high pressure pushes into the Ozarks and OH/TN valleys. Patchy fog looks probable Wednesday night into early Thursday morning as winds drop. Northerly flow persists into Thursday, but temperatures will still heat up a bit into the upper 80s to around 90.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .LONG TERM...-- Changed Discussion --(Thursday night through Monday) Issued at 900 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 A mid to upper level ridge axis will amplify and build east into this weekend, spanning much of the southern CONUS. This will yield gradual heating each day into the lower 90s through Sunday into Monday. Surface flow will become south-southwesterly again and will advect dew points back into the upper 60s to lower 70s. At this time, no thunderstorms are anticipated Friday or Saturday, but by Sunday afternoon, low chances are introduced to the forecast.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 505 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Isolated to scattered SHRA and TSRA should shift south of the area by 00Z. VFR conditions will occur until low clouds redevelop by 09Z with ceilings below 010agl expected (IFR). The ceilings should lift to and above 030agl (VFR) by 16Z. A cold front is forecast to drop southeast during the afternoon hours on Tuesday, with scattered to numerous SHRA and TSRA developing. Exact timing remains uncertain, so have included VCTS after 19-20Z. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...17 SHORT TERM....17 LONG TERM....17 AVIATION...17