Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
382
FNUS52 KILM 151913
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
313 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A broad storm system will affect the area into tonight. Dry
conditions are expected Thursday and Friday before another storm
system brings unsettled weather for the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-161115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
313 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 20 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Showers None None
LAL 4 2 1 2
Min/Max Temp 61 82 59 86
Max/Min RH (%) 98 57 100 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NW 5 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 12 PM
Precip End 2 AM 5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 68/0900 2000 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4700
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68600 61100
ADI Early 33 Fair 44 Gen Good 56 Gen Good 33 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 83 Good 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 7 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-161115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
313 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 10 0 20
Precip Type Tstms Showers None Tstms
LAL 4 2 1 2
Min/Max Temp 61 81 60 86
Max/Min RH (%) 99 57 100 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM 2 PM
Precip End 2 AM 5 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 67/0900 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4500
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 54000
ADI Early 38 Fair 41 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 32 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 89 Good 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
313 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 0 0 20
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
LAL 4 2 1 2
Min/Max Temp 61 82 61 86
Max/Min RH (%) 99 58 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 69/0900 2000 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4400
Transport Wind (mph) N 13 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61100 44000
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 37 Fair 47 Gen Good 27 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 70 Good 3 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 7 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
313 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 0 0 30
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
LAL 3 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 60 82 61 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 100 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 68/0900 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4500
Transport Wind (mph) N 13 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61100 45000
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 40 Fair 50 Gen Good 30 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 73 Good 4 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 8 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$