Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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691 FNUS52 KILM 191942 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018 .DISCUSSION... Cool and dry high pressure over the Carolinas will shift off the coast with warmer and more humid air returning Saturday. A strong cold front will move through the area Saturday night followed by Canadian high pressure, bringing some of the coldest weather so far this season early next week. Low pressure moving across the Southeast should spread clouds and rain northward into the Carolinas Thursday into Friday. Fog potential for tonight...Low NCZ105>110-201145- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount PCldy MCldy PCldy Clear Precip chc (%) 40 40 40 0 Precip type Showers Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 62 80 48 63 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 4 SW 6 W 9 NW 12 G29 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 5 W 10 NW 11 G20 N 11 G27 Precip amount 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.00 Precip duration 1 2 1 Inversion 2000 71/0900 None None Dispersion Fair Good Max/Min RH (%) 94 62 86 33 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 3 3 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4130 5050 Transport wnd (mph) W 23 N 20 Ventilation rate 94990 101000 ADI early 26 Fair 37 Fair 53 Gen good 97 Good ADI late 4 Very poor 66 Good 34 Fair 70 Good Max LVORI early 5 5 4 2 Max LVORI late 5 2 3 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 74 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-201145- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount PCldy MCldy PCldy Clear Precip chc (%) 0 40 30 0 Precip type None Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 61 79 47 62 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 4 SW 7 W 8 N 10 G21 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 W 10 NW 10 N 10 G23 Precip amount 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 Precip duration 2 0 Inversion 2000 66/0800 None None Dispersion Poor Good Max/Min RH (%) 93 63 85 34 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 2 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4240 4880 Transport wnd (mph) W 22 N 16 Ventilation rate 93280 78080 ADI early 26 Fair 35 Fair 47 Gen good 100 Good ADI late 3 Very poor 61 Good 13 Gen poor 62 Good Max LVORI early 5 6 4 2 Max LVORI late 6 2 3 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-201145- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Clear Precip chc (%) 0 40 30 0 Precip type None Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 62 81 49 63 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 3 SW 7 W 9 N 12 G29 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 W 11 NW 11 N 11 G27 Precip amount 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 Precip duration 1 0 Inversion 2000 68/0900 None None Dispersion Poor Excellent Max/Min RH (%) 98 59 83 34 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 2 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4430 4470 Transport wnd (mph) W 25 N 20 Ventilation rate 110750 89400 ADI early 19 Gen poor 47 Gen good 61 Good 89 Good ADI late 3 Very poor 74 Good 41 Gen good 67 Good Max LVORI early 7 8 4 2 Max LVORI late 7 1 3 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 74 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-201145- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Clear Precip chc (%) 0 30 30 0 Precip type None Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 62 81 47 62 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 3 SW 7 W 8 N 10 G21 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 W 11 NW 10 N 10 G23 Precip amount 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 Precip duration 1 0 Inversion 2000 66/0900 None None Dispersion Very Poor Good Max/Min RH (%) 99 60 86 33 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 2 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4450 4360 Transport wnd (mph) W 26 N 17 Ventilation rate 115700 74120 ADI early 18 Gen poor 40 Fair 45 Gen good 75 Good ADI late 3 Very poor 77 Good 38 Fair 59 Gen good Max LVORI early 7 9 4 3 Max LVORI late 7 2 3 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 75 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 79 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-201145- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Clear Precip chc (%) 0 40 0 0 Precip type None Showers None None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 60 79 46 61 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 4 SW 7 W 8 N 10 G21 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 W 10 NW 10 N 9 G23 Precip amount 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 Precip duration 2 Inversion 2000 66/0900 None None Dispersion Poor Good Max/Min RH (%) 95 61 89 34 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 2 5 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4110 4540 Transport wnd (mph) W 20 N 15 Ventilation rate 82200 68100 ADI early 18 Gen poor 39 Fair 37 Fair 90 Good ADI late 4 Very poor 63 Good 14 Gen poor 54 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 6 4 3 Max LVORI late 6 2 3 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ 8

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