Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000 FNUS52 KILM 170721 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 321 AM EDT Wed Aug 17 2022 .DISCUSSION... A front off the coast will meander just south of the area over the next few days, then slowly lift north. Clouds and northeast winds will keep temperatures slightly below normal through Friday, then warming to near normal for the weekend. Rain chances should increase Friday and for the weekend as the front lifts northward. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-172330- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 321 AM EDT Wed Aug 17 2022 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 20 30 Precip Type Showers Showers Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Max/Min Temp 86 65 86 Min/Max RH (%) 56 95 49 Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var E 5 Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.00 Precip Duration 0 1 1 Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0600 2000 73/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 6000 Transport Wind (mph) N 7 E 7 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41300 42000 ADI Early 56 Gen Good 23 Fair 25 Fair ADI Late 53 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 43 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 Max LVORI Late 2 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-172330- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 321 AM EDT Wed Aug 17 2022 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 85 65 86 Min/Max RH (%) 53 97 50 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0800 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5500 Transport Wind (mph) N 8 W 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44000 33000 ADI Early 57 Gen Good 29 Fair 25 Fair ADI Late 58 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 36 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 6 8 Max LVORI Late 1 7 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-172330- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 321 AM EDT Wed Aug 17 2022 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Max/Min Temp 85 66 86 Min/Max RH (%) 50 95 49 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var E 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0600 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5700 Transport Wind (mph) NE 7 E 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38500 34200 ADI Early 51 Gen Good 31 Fair 27 Fair ADI Late 64 Good 3 Very Poor 38 Fair Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 Max LVORI Late 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-172330- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 321 AM EDT Wed Aug 17 2022 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 20 40 Precip Type Showers Showers Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 84 65 84 Min/Max RH (%) 57 97 60 Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var E 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02 Precip Duration 0 0 2 Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 6 AM Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0600 1900 74/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4900 Transport Wind (mph) N 8 E 7 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35200 34300 ADI Early 33 Fair 19 Gen Poor 27 Fair ADI Late 31 Fair 3 Very Poor 32 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 6 7 Max LVORI Late 3 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-172330- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 321 AM EDT Wed Aug 17 2022 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 0 50 Precip Type Showers None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 83 65 84 Min/Max RH (%) 57 97 58 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var E 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02 Precip Duration 0 2 Precip Begin 3 PM 8 AM Precip End 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0600 1900 75/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5300 Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 E 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32800 31800 ADI Early 25 Fair 18 Gen Poor 27 Fair ADI Late 30 Fair 3 Very Poor 32 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 5 8 Max LVORI Late 3 6 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-172330- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 321 AM EDT Wed Aug 17 2022 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 84 66 85 Min/Max RH (%) 54 97 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var E 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 2 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0800 1900 75/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5500 Transport Wind (mph) NE 7 E 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34300 33000 ADI Early 27 Fair 19 Gen Poor 27 Fair ADI Late 31 Fair 3 Very Poor 32 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 5 7 Max LVORI Late 3 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...MORGAN

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