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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
691
FNUS52 KILM 191942
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018
.DISCUSSION...
Cool and dry high pressure over the Carolinas will shift off
the coast with warmer and more humid air returning Saturday.
A strong cold front will move through the area Saturday night
followed by Canadian high pressure, bringing some of the coldest
weather so far this season early next week. Low pressure moving
across the Southeast should spread clouds and rain northward
into the Carolinas Thursday into Friday.
Fog potential for tonight...Low
NCZ105>110-201145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount PCldy MCldy PCldy Clear
Precip chc (%) 40 40 40 0
Precip type Showers Showers Showers None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 62 80 48 63
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 4 SW 6 W 9 NW 12 G29
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 5 W 10 NW 11 G20 N 11 G27
Precip amount 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.00
Precip duration 1 2 1
Inversion 2000 71/0900 None None
Dispersion Fair Good
Max/Min RH (%) 94 62 86 33
DSI 2 3
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4130 5050
Transport wnd (mph) W 23 N 20
Ventilation rate 94990 101000
ADI early 26 Fair 37 Fair 53 Gen good 97 Good
ADI late 4 Very poor 66 Good 34 Fair 70 Good
Max LVORI early 5 5 4 2
Max LVORI late 5 2 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-201145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount PCldy MCldy PCldy Clear
Precip chc (%) 0 40 30 0
Precip type None Showers Showers None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 61 79 47 62
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 4 SW 7 W 8 N 10 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 W 10 NW 10 N 10 G23
Precip amount 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00
Precip duration 2 0
Inversion 2000 66/0800 None None
Dispersion Poor Good
Max/Min RH (%) 93 63 85 34
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 2 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4240 4880
Transport wnd (mph) W 22 N 16
Ventilation rate 93280 78080
ADI early 26 Fair 35 Fair 47 Gen good 100 Good
ADI late 3 Very poor 61 Good 13 Gen poor 62 Good
Max LVORI early 5 6 4 2
Max LVORI late 6 2 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-201145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Clear
Precip chc (%) 0 40 30 0
Precip type None Showers Showers None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 62 81 49 63
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 3 SW 7 W 9 N 12 G29
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 W 11 NW 11 N 11 G27
Precip amount 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00
Precip duration 1 0
Inversion 2000 68/0900 None None
Dispersion Poor Excellent
Max/Min RH (%) 98 59 83 34
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 2 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4430 4470
Transport wnd (mph) W 25 N 20
Ventilation rate 110750 89400
ADI early 19 Gen poor 47 Gen good 61 Good 89 Good
ADI late 3 Very poor 74 Good 41 Gen good 67 Good
Max LVORI early 7 8 4 2
Max LVORI late 7 1 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-201145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Clear
Precip chc (%) 0 30 30 0
Precip type None Showers Showers None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 62 81 47 62
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 3 SW 7 W 8 N 10 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 W 11 NW 10 N 10 G23
Precip amount 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00
Precip duration 1 0
Inversion 2000 66/0900 None None
Dispersion Very Poor Good
Max/Min RH (%) 99 60 86 33
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 2 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4450 4360
Transport wnd (mph) W 26 N 17
Ventilation rate 115700 74120
ADI early 18 Gen poor 40 Fair 45 Gen good 75 Good
ADI late 3 Very poor 77 Good 38 Fair 59 Gen good
Max LVORI early 7 9 4 3
Max LVORI late 7 2 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 75 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-201145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
342 PM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Clear
Precip chc (%) 0 40 0 0
Precip type None Showers None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 79 46 61
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 4 SW 7 W 8 N 10 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 W 10 NW 10 N 9 G23
Precip amount 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip duration 2
Inversion 2000 66/0900 None None
Dispersion Poor Good
Max/Min RH (%) 95 61 89 34
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 2 5 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4110 4540
Transport wnd (mph) W 20 N 15
Ventilation rate 82200 68100
ADI early 18 Gen poor 39 Fair 37 Fair 90 Good
ADI late 4 Very poor 63 Good 14 Gen poor 54 Gen good
Max LVORI early 6 6 4 3
Max LVORI late 6 2 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
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- Page last modified: Aug 21st, 2018 14:37 UTC