Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000 FNUS52 KILM 240743 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 343 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018 .DISCUSSION... A weak cold front will remain in close proximity as it slowly dissipates through Friday with fewer thunderstorms around Friday and Saturday as compared to today. Developing low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico may take on tropical characteristics as it moves north through the Memorial Day weekend. Tropical moisture streaming northward should help fuel a higher probability of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain across the eastern Carolinas Sunday and into early next week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight...Low. NCZ105>110-242345- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 343 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 40 30 30 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 84 65 85 Wnd20ft/early(mph) W 4 E 6 E 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 7 E 4 SE 6 Precip amount 0.08 0.06 0.04 Precip duration 2 1 2 Inversion 74/0900 2100 75/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 57 95 53 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4910 5140 Transport wnd (mph) E 12 S 6 Ventilation rate 58920 30840 ADI early 14 Gen poor 28 Fair 13 Gen poor ADI late 35 Fair 4 Very poor 35 Fair Max LVORI early 7 5 6 Max LVORI late 3 7 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-242345- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 343 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 50 30 30 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 85 65 87 Wnd20ft/early(mph) W 4 SE 5 E 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 7 E 4 SE 5 Precip amount 0.09 0.06 0.09 Precip duration 2 1 1 Inversion 73/0900 2100 73/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 57 96 49 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5320 5180 Transport wnd (mph) E 10 S 7 Ventilation rate 53200 36260 ADI early 17 Gen poor 30 Fair 12 poor ADI late 35 Fair 3 Very poor 34 Fair Max LVORI early 9 5 7 Max LVORI late 3 7 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-242345- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 343 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 50 40 30 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 84 66 86 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 3 SE 5 E 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 6 E 4 SE 7 Precip amount 0.08 0.08 0.06 Precip duration 2 2 2 Inversion 74/0900 2100 75/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 65 99 57 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4550 4980 Transport wnd (mph) SE 7 S 9 Ventilation rate 31850 44820 ADI early 4 Very poor 23 Fair 15 Gen poor ADI late 24 Fair 3 Very poor 36 Fair Max LVORI early 8 6 8 Max LVORI late 4 8 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-242345- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 343 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 60 40 40 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 3 Min/Max Temp 85 66 86 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 3 SE 5 E 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 7 E 4 SE 6 Precip amount 0.10 0.08 0.07 Precip duration 2 2 2 Inversion 73/0900 2100 73/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 59 99 49 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 3 3 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5220 5280 Transport wnd (mph) SE 8 S 10 Ventilation rate 41760 52800 ADI early 8 poor 27 Fair 16 Gen poor ADI late 26 Fair 3 Very poor 36 Fair Max LVORI early 8 6 9 Max LVORI late 4 9 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ 27

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.