Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
286 FNUS52 KILM 070846 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 .DISCUSSION... The area will remain between an inland trough and Atlantic high pressure into Thursday with unseasonably warm and humid conditions expected. Scattered convection across the area this morning will lift NE of the region by midday. Limited convection expected Wed however by late in the week, a cold front accompanied by strong convection will move through late in the work week. High pressure will follow bringing drier and cooler conditions into the upcoming weekend. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-080100- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 0 30 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 3 2 3 Max/Min Temp 88 68 92 Min/Max RH (%) 58 96 49 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 8 G18 SW 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G19 SW 7 G17 SW 10 G19 Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 1 Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM Precip End 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 78/0900 Dispersion Good Haines Index 3 3 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 5600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 W 22 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 86400 123200 ADI Early 52 Gen Good 34 Fair 75 Good ADI Late 69 Good 11 Poor 94 Good Max LVORI Early 6 5 6 Max LVORI Late 3 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B D B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-080100- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 0 40 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 2 2 3 Max/Min Temp 89 69 92 Min/Max RH (%) 53 97 49 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 SW 6 SW 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 1 1 Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM Precip End 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 1900 77/0900 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5400 Transport Wind (mph) W 18 W 22 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95400 118800 ADI Early 45 Gen Good 36 Fair 67 Good ADI Late 104 Very Good10 Poor 93 Good Max LVORI Early 8 5 6 Max LVORI Late 3 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-080100- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 30 0 40 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 2 1 3 Max/Min Temp 89 69 92 Min/Max RH (%) 51 95 50 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 SW 7 SW 8 Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 10 G17 SW 7 SW 11 G20 Precip Amount 0.13 0.00 0.02 Precip Duration 1 1 Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM Precip End 2 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 1900 77/0900 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5600 Transport Wind (mph) W 18 W 22 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93600 123200 ADI Early 39 Fair 46 Gen Good 61 Good ADI Late 89 Good 11 Poor 94 Good Max LVORI Early 8 4 5 Max LVORI Late 2 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C D B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-080100- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 0 20 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 2 2 3 Max/Min Temp 89 69 91 Min/Max RH (%) 55 96 48 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 G18 SW 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G19 SW 7 SW 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 0 Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM Precip End 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 77/0900 Dispersion Good Haines Index 3 3 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5900 Transport Wind (mph) W 16 W 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 86400 123900 ADI Early 53 Gen Good 40 Fair 65 Good ADI Late 84 Good 11 Poor 102 Very Good Max LVORI Early 8 5 6 Max LVORI Late 2 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-080100- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 0 20 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 2 1 3 Max/Min Temp 88 68 91 Min/Max RH (%) 53 95 48 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 SW 6 SW 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 0 Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM Precip End 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 1900 76/0900 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5500 Transport Wind (mph) W 17 SW 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91800 115500 ADI Early 52 Gen Good 58 Gen Good 65 Good ADI Late 97 Good 10 Poor 123 Very Good Max LVORI Early 8 4 6 Max LVORI Late 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-080100- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 30 0 40 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 2 1 3 Max/Min Temp 89 69 91 Min/Max RH (%) 52 95 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 SW 7 SW 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.12 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 1 1 Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM Precip End 2 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 1900 77/0900 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 5500 Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98600 115500 ADI Early 40 Fair 44 Gen Good 63 Good ADI Late 90 Good 10 Poor 92 Good Max LVORI Early 8 4 6 Max LVORI Late 2 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...dch