Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 180838
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
438 AM EDT Sat Aug 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure offshore will maintain warm and humid summertime
weather, with a chance of showers or a thunderstorm each day. A
cold front is expected to cross the coast late next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-190045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
438 AM EDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           60           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            3
Min/Max Temp          90           73           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  9        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        SW  7        SW 11
Precip amount         0.10         0.13         0.11
Precip duration       1            5            4
Inversion             80/0900      2000         None
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           97           62
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6160                      5040
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     SW 17
Ventilation rate      141680                    85680
ADI early             69 Good      41 Gen good  52 Gen good
ADI late              77 Good      7 poor       54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            6            7
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-190045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
438 AM EDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           70           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            3
Min/Max Temp          90           73           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  7        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        SW  5        SW 10
Precip amount         0.10         0.15         0.12
Precip duration       1            5            4
Inversion             79/0900      2000         None
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           97           61
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6340                      5370
Transport wnd (mph)   W 25                      SW 17
Ventilation rate      158500                    91290
ADI early             61 Good      51 Gen good  38 Fair
ADI late              85 Good      4 Very poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            6            7
Max LVORI late        1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-190045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
438 AM EDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           60           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            3
Min/Max Temp          92           74           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  9        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        SW  7        SW 11
Precip amount         0.09         0.11         0.08
Precip duration       1            2            4
Inversion             80/0900      2000         None
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           98           60
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6440                      5530
Transport wnd (mph)   W 22                      SW 15
Ventilation rate      141680                    82950
ADI early             63 Good      45 Gen good  39 Fair
ADI late              76 Good      7 poor       45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            5            7
Max LVORI late        1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-190045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
438 AM EDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           60           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            3
Min/Max Temp          90           72           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  9        SW  7        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        SW  5        SW 11
Precip amount         0.08         0.13         0.10
Precip duration       1            2            4
Inversion             79/0900      2000         None
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           99           59
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6260                      5610
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 24                     SW 16
Ventilation rate      150240                    89760
ADI early             57 Gen good  51 Gen good  36 Fair
ADI late              84 Good      4 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            5            8
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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