Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 282002
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

.DISCUSSION...
A weak front will remain stalled north of the area through tonight.
Low pressure well north of the region will push the front across the
area Monday, increasing rain chances. The front will stall just
south of the area Tuesday. High pressure will briefly build in
Tuesday before unsettled weather returns Wednesday, followed by dry
high pressure Thursday.

Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.

NCZ105>110-011215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            70           30           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           75           40           53
Max/Min RH (%)        96           56           81           33
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SW  8        SW 10 G21    NW  7        NE  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  9        W 10 G22     N  7         E  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.09         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                    5            1            1
Precip Begin                       7 AM         Continuing   7 AM
Precip End                         Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         None         None         None
Dispersion            Excellent                 Good
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                3900                      4200
Transport Wind (mph)               W 29                      NE  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 112100                    29000
ADI Early             20 Gen poor  63 Good      22 Fair      49 Gen good
ADI Late              20 Gen poor  74 Good      23 Fair      33 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            4            3            2
Max LVORI Late        4            3            3            2
Min VSBY Early        0            1            7
Min VSBY Late         0            4            7
Turner Stability      D            D            D            C

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 79 percent. North winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower
50s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-011215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            80           30           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          63           72           41           54
Max/Min RH (%)        93           60           77           32
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  7         SW 12 G23    NW  7        NE  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  9        NW  9 G22    N  6         E  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.01         0.00
Precip Duration                    5            1            1
Precip Begin                       8 AM         Continuing   1 PM
Precip End                         Continuing   10 PM        Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         None         None         None
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
DSI                                1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                3100                      4200
Transport Wind (mph)               W 25                      NE  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 78400                     29000
ADI Early             20 Gen poor  63 Good      22 Fair      49 Gen good
ADI Late              21 Fair      53 Gen good  21 Fair      32 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            3            2
Max LVORI Late        4            3            2            2
Min VSBY Early        5            5            7
Min VSBY Late         5            5            7
Turner Stability      D            D            D            B

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-011215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            70           40           40
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           77           42           53
Max/Min RH (%)        97           57           81           36
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  9         SW 11 G22    NW  7        NE  7
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  9 G20    W 10 G23     N  8         NE  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.08         0.02         0.01
Precip Duration                    2            1            2
Precip Begin                       8 AM         Continuing   7 AM
Precip End                         Continuing   1 AM         Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  0100         None         1800         None
Dispersion            Excellent                 Good
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                3500                      3700
Transport Wind (mph)               W 25                      NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 88500                     38300
ADI Early             22 Fair      59 Gen good  22 Fair      45 Gen good
ADI Late              20 Gen poor  64 Good      23 Fair      36 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            4            4            2
Max LVORI Late        5            3            3            2
Min VSBY Early        0            3            4
Min VSBY Late         0            6            7
Turner Stability      D            D            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-011215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            70           50           40
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           76           42           53
Max/Min RH (%)        97           50           79           36
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  7         SW 11 G24    NW  7        NE  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  8        NW 10 G24    N  7         E  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.10         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                    3            1            1
Precip Begin                       7 AM         Continuing   7 AM
Precip End                         Continuing   12 AM        Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         None         1800         None
Dispersion            Good                      Good
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                2800                      3700
Transport Wind (mph)               W 23                      NE  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 64400                     34000
ADI Early             20 Gen poor  60 Gen good  21 Fair      50 Gen good
ADI Late              21 Fair      50 Gen good  22 Fair      39 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            4            3            2
Max LVORI Late        5            2            3            2
Min VSBY Early        7            5            7
Min VSBY Late         5            5            7
Turner Stability      D            D            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$
Forecaster...MK



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