Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000 FNUS52 KILM 282002 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 .DISCUSSION... A weak front will remain stalled north of the area through tonight. Low pressure well north of the region will push the front across the area Monday, increasing rain chances. The front will stall just south of the area Tuesday. High pressure will briefly build in Tuesday before unsettled weather returns Wednesday, followed by dry high pressure Thursday. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-011215- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 70 30 20 Precip Type None Showers Showers Rain LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 60 75 40 53 Max/Min RH (%) 96 56 81 33 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 SW 10 G21 NW 7 NE 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 W 10 G22 N 7 E 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.02 0.00 Precip Duration 5 1 1 Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing 7 AM Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 None None None Dispersion Excellent Good Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 2 1 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3900 4200 Transport Wind (mph) W 29 NE 7 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 112100 29000 ADI Early 20 Gen poor 63 Good 22 Fair 49 Gen good ADI Late 20 Gen poor 74 Good 23 Fair 33 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 4 3 2 Max LVORI Late 4 3 3 2 Min VSBY Early 0 1 7 Min VSBY Late 0 4 7 Turner Stability D D D C Remarks...Brotak Stack Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 71 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 76 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 79 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-011215- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 80 30 20 Precip Type None Showers Showers Rain LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 63 72 41 54 Max/Min RH (%) 93 60 77 32 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 SW 12 G23 NW 7 NE 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 NW 9 G22 N 6 E 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 Precip Duration 5 1 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing 1 PM Precip End Continuing 10 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 None None None Dispersion Good Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 1 1 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3100 4200 Transport Wind (mph) W 25 NE 7 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78400 29000 ADI Early 20 Gen poor 63 Good 22 Fair 49 Gen good ADI Late 21 Fair 53 Gen good 21 Fair 32 Fair Max LVORI Early 3 4 3 2 Max LVORI Late 4 3 2 2 Min VSBY Early 5 5 7 Min VSBY Late 5 5 7 Turner Stability D D D B Remarks...Brotak Stack Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-011215- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 70 40 40 Precip Type None Showers Showers Rain LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 61 77 42 53 Max/Min RH (%) 97 57 81 36 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 9 SW 11 G22 NW 7 NE 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G20 W 10 G23 N 8 NE 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.02 0.01 Precip Duration 2 1 2 Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing 7 AM Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 0100 None 1800 None Dispersion Excellent Good Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 2 1 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3500 3700 Transport Wind (mph) W 25 NE 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88500 38300 ADI Early 22 Fair 59 Gen good 22 Fair 45 Gen good ADI Late 20 Gen poor 64 Good 23 Fair 36 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 2 Max LVORI Late 5 3 3 2 Min VSBY Early 0 3 4 Min VSBY Late 0 6 7 Turner Stability D D D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of rain near 100 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 71 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-011215- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 302 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 70 50 40 Precip Type None Showers Showers Rain LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 62 76 42 53 Max/Min RH (%) 97 50 79 36 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 SW 11 G24 NW 7 NE 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 NW 10 G24 N 7 E 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.02 0.00 Precip Duration 3 1 1 Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing 7 AM Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 None 1800 None Dispersion Good Good Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 2 1 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 2800 3700 Transport Wind (mph) W 23 NE 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64400 34000 ADI Early 20 Gen poor 60 Gen good 21 Fair 50 Gen good ADI Late 21 Fair 50 Gen good 22 Fair 39 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 4 3 2 Max LVORI Late 5 2 3 2 Min VSBY Early 7 5 7 Min VSBY Late 5 5 7 Turner Stability D D D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of rain near 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 71 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 76 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...MK
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