Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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839
FNUS52 KILM 191943
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
343 PM EDT Mon Apr 19 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty NW to N winds will diminish tonight as high pressure moves
across North Carolina, bringing light winds, veering onshore on
Tuesday. A strong cold front will approach from the west Wednesday
and move offshore Wednesday night. Canadian high pressure will build
in Thursday and Friday with cooler and much drier air. Low relative
humidity and gusty winds will develop Wednesday and Thursday with
poor relative humidity recovery Wednesday night.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

NCZ105>110-201145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
343 PM EDT Mon Apr 19 2021

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            20           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           75           54           80
Max/Min RH (%)        100          32           100          32
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  3        SW 11
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                 0
Precip Begin                                    2 AM
Precip End                                      6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2100         66/1000      2100         64/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Haines Index          5            5            5            5
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                6500                      8000
Transport Wind (mph)               SE  8                     W 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 52300                     184000
ADI Early             64 Good      17 Gen poor  54 Gen good  76 Good
ADI Late              2 Very poor  59 Gen good  3 Very poor  88 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            10           5            9
Max LVORI Late        7            2            10           1
Min VSBY Early        7            3            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            C            E            C

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
58 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 23 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 29 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-201145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
343 PM EDT Mon Apr 19 2021

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            20           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           76           54           80
Max/Min RH (%)        99           29           100          29
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  4         LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   LGT/VAR      S  7         SE  3        W 11 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                 0
Precip Begin                                    2 AM
Precip End                                      5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2100         66/1100      2100         63/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Haines Index          5            5            5            5
DSI                                3                         4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                7500                      8100
Transport Wind (mph)               S 13                      W 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 94900                     214200
ADI Early             74 Good      18 Gen poor  63 Good      77 Good
ADI Late              2 Very poor  69 Good      2 Very poor  94 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            8            4            9
Max LVORI Late        7            2            9            1
Min VSBY Early        7            5            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            C            F            C

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
58 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-201145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
343 PM EDT Mon Apr 19 2021

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            20           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           77           54           80
Max/Min RH (%)        94           28           100          27
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  4         LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   LGT/VAR      S  7         S  4         W 13 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                 0
Precip Begin                                    2 AM
Precip End                                      5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2200         65/1000      2100         62/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Haines Index          5            5            4            5
DSI                                3                         4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                7400                      8200
Transport Wind (mph)               S 14                      W 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 102100                    226300
ADI Early             77 Good      18 Gen poor  62 Good      68 Good
ADI Late              2 Very poor  69 Good      4 Very poor  98 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            7            3            9
Max LVORI Late        6            2            9            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            C            E            C

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
58 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 19 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
23 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-201145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
343 PM EDT Mon Apr 19 2021

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            20           0
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           75           55           80
Max/Min RH (%)        98           33           100          29
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  5         E  3         SE  5        SW  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   LGT/VAR      SE  8        LGT/VAR      W 11 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Begin                                    11 PM
Precip End                                      5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2100         64/1000      2100         64/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          5            5            4            5
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                6600                      8400
Transport Wind (mph)               SE 13                     W 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 83500                     212500
ADI Early             79 Good      24 Fair      63 Good      81 Good
ADI Late              2 Very poor  55 Gen good  4 Very poor  93 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            7            5            9
Max LVORI Late        6            1            9            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            C            E            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 23 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
32 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-201145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
343 PM EDT Mon Apr 19 2021

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           76           54           80
Max/Min RH (%)        93           30           100          28
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  4         E  3         SE  5        SW  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   LGT/VAR      SE  8        LGT/VAR      W 11 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2200         65/1000      2100         62/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          5            5            4            5
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                7500                      8300
Transport Wind (mph)               S 16                      W 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 120700                    219500
ADI Early             77 Good      24 Fair      67 Good      87 Good
ADI Late              2 Very poor  76 Good      3 Very poor  94 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            6            4            9
Max LVORI Late        5            1            9            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
60 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 21 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
26 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-201145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
343 PM EDT Mon Apr 19 2021

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           77           53           79
Max/Min RH (%)        92           29           100          28
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  4         LGT/VAR      SE  6        SW  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   LGT/VAR      S  7         S  4         W 12 G22
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2200         65/1000      2100         62/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Haines Index          5            5            4            5
DSI                                3                         4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL)                7900                      8600
Transport Wind (mph)               S 17                      W 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 136300                    237400
ADI Early             78 Good      21 Fair      70 Good      81 Good
ADI Late              2 Very poor  61 Good      4 Very poor  99 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            6            3            9
Max LVORI Late        5            2            9            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            C            E            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
63 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$
Forecaster...RGZ



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