Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 181859
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Rain chances will increase on Friday as a cold front moves across
the area. The front stalls in the area for the weekend,
maintaining elevated rain chances. High pressure next week leads
to drying conditions once more.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-191100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            20           30
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2            1
Min/Max Temp          58           82           61           83
Max/Min RH (%)        96           56           98           57
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      E  4         SE  4        Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  6        Lgt/Var      NW  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03
Precip Duration                                 1            1
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         63/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          5            4            3
DSI                                2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3200
Transport Wind (mph)               SE 13                     N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 41600
ADI Early             52 Gen Good  27 Fair      19 Gen Poor
ADI Late              5 Very Poor  35 Fair      19 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early       4            6            4
Max LVORI Late        6            2            4
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-191100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           30           30
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          60           85           62           83
Max/Min RH (%)        94           47           98           48
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  4         Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var      N  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.06         0.02
Precip Duration                    1            1            1
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   2 PM
Precip End                         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         73/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          6            4            3
DSI                                3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4800
Transport Wind (mph)               S 13                      N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 62400
ADI Early             78 Good      26 Fair      28 Fair
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  64 Good      28 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            6            4
Max LVORI Late        5            1            4
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            A            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
50. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-191100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           20           40
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          61           85           63           84
Max/Min RH (%)        96           49           96           54
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var      W  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.05         0.02
Precip Duration                    1            1            1
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         76/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          5            5            3
DSI                                3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5600
Transport Wind (mph)               S 13                      N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 72800
ADI Early             45 Gen Good  26 Fair      24 Fair
ADI Late              5 Very Poor  62 Good      24 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            7            4
Max LVORI Late        6            2            4
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            A            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 88 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-191100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           40           40
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          60           86           62           84
Max/Min RH (%)        95           48           97           51
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  5        Lgt/Var      NW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.06         0.02
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Begin                       12 PM        Continuing   2 PM
Precip End                         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         76/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          5            5            3
DSI                                3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    6500
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 14                     N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 91000
ADI Early             62 Good      28 Fair      48 Gen Good
ADI Late              5 Very Poor  97 Good      48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       3            7            4
Max LVORI Late        6            1            4
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            A            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-191100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           40           30
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          61           86           62           82
Max/Min RH (%)        91           47           98           46
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  4         N  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  6        Lgt/Var      N  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.06         0.01
Precip Duration                    1            2            1
Precip Begin                       11 AM        Continuing   2 PM
Precip End                         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         74/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          6            4            3
DSI                                3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    6100
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 15                     N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 91500
ADI Early             63 Good      23 Fair      48 Gen Good
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  88 Good      48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       3            5            3
Max LVORI Late        5            1            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 50.
Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


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