Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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957
FNUS52 KILM 190829
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
329 AM EST Tue Nov 19 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will prevail today. Stronger high pressure from
the Gulf Coast states will work its way across the area Wednesday
through Thursday, before sliding off the coast and offshore Friday.
A fairly potent cold front will arrive late Saturday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.

NCZ105>110-200030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
329 AM EST Tue Nov 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           39           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  3        NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         NW  4        NW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             47/0900      2000         44/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        70           98           46
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2730                      4270
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     NW 20
Ventilation rate      12560                     83480
ADI early             8 poor       3 Very poor  64 Good
ADI late              11 poor      2 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            8
Max LVORI late        4            8            1

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-200030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
329 AM EST Tue Nov 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           38           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        W  3         NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/0900      1900         43/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        71           99           47
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2900                      4250
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  6                     N 18
Ventilation rate      16680                     78200
ADI early             7 poor       2 Very poor  60 Gen good
ADI late              18 Gen poor  2 Very poor  66 Good
Max LVORI early       10           10           9
Max LVORI late        4            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-200030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
329 AM EST Tue Nov 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           38           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      W  3         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  3         NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/0900      1800         46/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        70           100          46
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2740                      4330
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  7                     N 15
Ventilation rate      18910                     64730
ADI early             9 poor       3 Very poor  47 Gen good
ADI late              19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           10           8
Max LVORI late        4            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-200030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
329 AM EST Tue Nov 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           38           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  3        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        LGT/VAR      NW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             48/0900      1900         44/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        66           99           49
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3340                      4270
Transport wnd (mph)   W  5                      N 14
Ventilation rate      15360                     58930
ADI early             8 poor       3 Very poor  49 Gen good
ADI late              19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           8            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-200030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
329 AM EST Tue Nov 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           37           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        LGT/VAR      N  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             47/0900      1800         46/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        66           100          48
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3090                      4490
Transport wnd (mph)   W  5                      N 12
Ventilation rate      14210                     51640
ADI early             9 poor       2 Very poor  46 Gen good
ADI late              19 Gen poor  1 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           9            9
Max LVORI late        3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-200030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
329 AM EST Tue Nov 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           37           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/0900      1800         46/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        67           100          47
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2990                      4510
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     N 12
Ventilation rate      13750                     51870
ADI early             7 poor       2 Very poor  41 Gen good
ADI late              13 Gen poor  1 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           10           8
Max LVORI late        4            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$



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