Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6

000
FNUS52 KILM 070717
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022

.DISCUSSION...
One final day of above normal temperatures is expected ahead of
a cold front that will push off the Carolina coast late tonight.
Cooler and consistently dry weather will continue through at least
the middle of next week as high pressure builds along the East Coast.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-072330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          83           57           77
Min/Max RH (%)        42           97           46
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      SW  5        N  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  5        SW  4        NE  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  75/1000      1800         63/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          4            4            3
DSI                   3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6000                      3400
Transport Wind (mph)  SW  8                     N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    48000                     51000
ADI Early             12 Poor      16 Gen Poor  39 Fair
ADI Late              42 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            6
Max LVORI Late        2            6            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Fog        7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            E            B

Remarks...A weak seabreeze should develop around noon at the
beaches. The shift to southerly winds should be located about
5 miles inland by 2 PM, and 10-15 miles inland by 4 PM.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-072330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          83           56           75
Min/Max RH (%)        39           93           43
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N  6 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  4        Lgt/Var      N  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  74/1000      1900         61/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          4            4            3
DSI                   3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5900                      3500
Transport Wind (mph)  W  8                      N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    47200                     49000
ADI Early             8 Poor       12 Poor      56 Gen Good
ADI Late              50 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  61 Good
Max LVORI Early       8            5            5
Max LVORI Late        2            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-072330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          83           56           77
Min/Max RH (%)        41           99           48
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      S  4         N  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  4        Lgt/Var      NE  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  74/1000      1800         63/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4
DSI                   3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5900                      3400
Transport Wind (mph)  SW  8                     NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    47200                     44200
ADI Early             9 Poor       16 Gen Poor  35 Fair
ADI Late              38 Fair      4 Very Poor  52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            6
Max LVORI Late        2            6            1
Min VSBY Early        5 Fog        7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...A weak seabreeze should develop around noon at the
beaches. The shift to southerly winds should be located about
5 miles inland by 2 PM, and 10-15 miles inland by 4 PM.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-072330-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          83           55           76
Min/Max RH (%)        38           98           45
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  74/1000      1900         61/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          5            4            4
DSI                   3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5700                      3600
Transport Wind (mph)  W  7                      N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    39900                     50400
ADI Early             7 Poor       11 Poor      49 Gen Good
ADI Late              43 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       9            4            7
Max LVORI Late        2            6            1
Min VSBY Early        5 Fog        7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-072330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          83           55           74
Min/Max RH (%)        39           90           42
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N  7
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  4        Lgt/Var      NE  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  73/1000      1900         60/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          4            5            3
DSI                   3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5800                      4000
Transport Wind (mph)  W  8                      N  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    46400                     36000
ADI Early             7 Poor       12 Poor      57 Gen Good
ADI Late              51 Gen Good  7 Poor       62 Good
Max LVORI Early       9            4            5
Max LVORI Late        2            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...TRA


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.