Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 110819
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
319 AM EST Tue Dec 11 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will move offshore today, allowing sunshine to
return this afternoon. Cool temperatures will continue as dry
high pressure moves across the area Wednesday and Thursday. Low
pressure approaching from the west will bring more substantial
rain Friday into early Saturday, followed by cool weather again
for early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...moderate inland, low near the coast.

NCZ105>110-120030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
319 AM EST Tue Dec 11 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           28           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 10        W  6         NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 10        W  4         SW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             34/0800      1700         48/1100
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        43           98           41
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2250                      2090
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 18                     SW  5
Ventilation rate      40500                     10450
ADI early             35 Fair      7 poor       7 poor
ADI late              46 Gen good  2 Very poor  11 poor
Max LVORI early       5            4            8
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 82 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-120030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
319 AM EST Tue Dec 11 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           29           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  7        W  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             35/0900      1700         48/1200
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           99           42
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2310                      2020
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 15                     SW  3
Ventilation rate      34650                     6060
ADI early             37 Fair      4 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              45 Gen good  2 Very poor  10 poor
Max LVORI early       6            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light and variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 84 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-120030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
319 AM EST Tue Dec 11 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           27           52
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  7        W  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        W  3         SW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             36/1000      1700         48/1200
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        36           97           43
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2300                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     SW  5
Ventilation rate      29900                     10000
ADI early             32 Fair      4 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              40 Fair      2 Very poor  11 poor
Max LVORI early       5            3            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 86 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-120030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
319 AM EST Tue Dec 11 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           29           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  9        W  5         W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  9        W  3         SW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             36/0900      1700         48/1200
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           100          43
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2410                      1480
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 17                     SW  5
Ventilation rate      40970                     7400
ADI early             38 Fair      6 Very poor  5 Very poor
ADI late              45 Gen good  2 Very poor  9 poor
Max LVORI early       5            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Not as
cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 86 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ033-039-120030-
Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
319 AM EST Tue Dec 11 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           29           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  7        W  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        LGT/VAR      SW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             37/0900      1700         48/1200
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           99           42
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2490                      1480
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 15                     SW  5
Ventilation rate      37350                     7400
ADI early             37 Fair      4 Very poor  5 Very poor
ADI late              44 Gen good  2 Very poor  9 poor
Max LVORI early       5            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light and variable wind.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Not as
cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 88 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-120030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, and Florence
319 AM EST Tue Dec 11 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           28           52
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  6        W  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             37/1000      1700         48/1300
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           97           43
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2360                      1590
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     S  5
Ventilation rate      30680                     7950
ADI early             27 Fair      4 Very poor  6 Very poor
ADI late              36 Fair      2 Very poor  9 poor
Max LVORI early       5            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 89 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA


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