Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000 FNUS52 KILM 070717 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022 .DISCUSSION... One final day of above normal temperatures is expected ahead of a cold front that will push off the Carolina coast late tonight. Cooler and consistently dry weather will continue through at least the middle of next week as high pressure builds along the East Coast. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-072330- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 83 57 77 Min/Max RH (%) 42 97 46 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 N 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 4 NE 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1800 63/1000 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 3400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 N 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48000 51000 ADI Early 12 Poor 16 Gen Poor 39 Fair ADI Late 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 57 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 5 6 Max LVORI Late 2 6 1 Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...A weak seabreeze should develop around noon at the beaches. The shift to southerly winds should be located about 5 miles inland by 2 PM, and 10-15 miles inland by 4 PM. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-072330- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 83 56 75 Min/Max RH (%) 39 93 43 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 6 G17 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var N 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 61/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 3500 Transport Wind (mph) W 8 N 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47200 49000 ADI Early 8 Poor 12 Poor 56 Gen Good ADI Late 50 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 61 Good Max LVORI Early 8 5 5 Max LVORI Late 2 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-072330- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 83 56 77 Min/Max RH (%) 41 99 48 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 N 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var NE 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1800 63/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 3400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 NE 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47200 44200 ADI Early 9 Poor 16 Gen Poor 35 Fair ADI Late 38 Fair 4 Very Poor 52 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 5 6 Max LVORI Late 2 6 1 Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...A weak seabreeze should develop around noon at the beaches. The shift to southerly winds should be located about 5 miles inland by 2 PM, and 10-15 miles inland by 4 PM. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-072330- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 83 55 76 Min/Max RH (%) 38 98 45 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 61/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 5 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 3600 Transport Wind (mph) W 7 N 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39900 50400 ADI Early 7 Poor 11 Poor 49 Gen Good ADI Late 43 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 60 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 4 7 Max LVORI Late 2 6 1 Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-072330- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 317 AM EDT Fri Oct 7 2022 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 83 55 74 Min/Max RH (%) 39 90 42 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var NE 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1900 60/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 5 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4000 Transport Wind (mph) W 8 N 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46400 36000 ADI Early 7 Poor 12 Poor 57 Gen Good ADI Late 51 Gen Good 7 Poor 62 Good Max LVORI Early 9 4 5 Max LVORI Late 2 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...TRA
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