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000
FXUS65 KLKN 042249
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
249 PM PST Thu Mar 4 2021

.SYNOPSIS...Above normal temperatures and dry conditions under a
ridge of high pressure is expected through Friday. Gusty winds
and light northernly showers are expected Friday into Saturday as
the next trough of low pressure quickly moves through the region.
Look for a better chance of more widespread precipitation for the
start of next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday

Current satellites shows that the closed upper-level low has long
since left our area, leaving the rest of today in dry and warm
conditions. Look for this to be the trend for Friday as models
continue to place us underneath ridging and good southwesterly
flow. Thanks to this pattern temperatures will continue to warm up
passed the normal range today with temperatures reaching into the
high 50s to 60s by Friday afternoon. Overnight temperatures look
to follow suit with a steady increase into the 20s to 30s.

These dry conditions, however, will be somewhat short live as
models place a quick moving short-wave trough and associated cold
front over northern Nevada Friday night into Saturday morning.
Light showers are expected with a possible rain/snow mix in the
lower valleys and snow in the higher elevations. Amounts are very
light with this system as current guidance places an inch or less
around northern Nevada. However, conditions are expected to become
quite breezy behind the cold front Saturday afternoon especially
in eastern White Pine county. Potential is there for much stronger
winds and wind gusts as strong 700mb winds could mix down to the
surface in the early morning hours to the afternoon. However,
confidence remains somewhat low on the possibility. Otherwise,
impacts should be minimal as we return to dry and calm conditions
over Saturday night and remain there for most of Sunday.
Temperatures for the weekend look to cool a bit thanks to the cold
front putting Saturday afternoon in the 40s and 50s, and Sunday
rebounding back into the 50s and 60s. Overnight, temperatures will
be mild with most locations in the 20s by Sunday morning.

.LONG TERM...Sunday night through next Thursday.

Changes will be underway as the upper ridge pushes eastward
Sunday night. The next weather system is anticipated to be off the
coast of the eastern Pacific. Winds may become breezy Sunday
evening in Nye and White Pine counties. Expecting some light rain
and snow showers to develop during the overnight Sunday into
Monday, with the possibility of isolated to scattered showers
hanging around through mid-week. Look for highs forecast to be in
the 50s to lower 60s through Monday, with highs dipping to the 40s
beyond. Lows in the 20s and 30s through Monday, with lows in the
teens and 20s after Monday.



&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions expected at all TAF sites through the
next 24 hours. Some breezy winds are possible tomorrow afternoon
with some gusts to 25KT.

Note: Amendments will not be available for KELY given no wind
observations.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

94/86/86