Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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000 FXUS65 KLKN 042249 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 249 PM PST Thu Mar 4 2021 .SYNOPSIS...Above normal temperatures and dry conditions under a ridge of high pressure is expected through Friday. Gusty winds and light northernly showers are expected Friday into Saturday as the next trough of low pressure quickly moves through the region. Look for a better chance of more widespread precipitation for the start of next week. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday Current satellites shows that the closed upper-level low has long since left our area, leaving the rest of today in dry and warm conditions. Look for this to be the trend for Friday as models continue to place us underneath ridging and good southwesterly flow. Thanks to this pattern temperatures will continue to warm up passed the normal range today with temperatures reaching into the high 50s to 60s by Friday afternoon. Overnight temperatures look to follow suit with a steady increase into the 20s to 30s. These dry conditions, however, will be somewhat short live as models place a quick moving short-wave trough and associated cold front over northern Nevada Friday night into Saturday morning. Light showers are expected with a possible rain/snow mix in the lower valleys and snow in the higher elevations. Amounts are very light with this system as current guidance places an inch or less around northern Nevada. However, conditions are expected to become quite breezy behind the cold front Saturday afternoon especially in eastern White Pine county. Potential is there for much stronger winds and wind gusts as strong 700mb winds could mix down to the surface in the early morning hours to the afternoon. However, confidence remains somewhat low on the possibility. Otherwise, impacts should be minimal as we return to dry and calm conditions over Saturday night and remain there for most of Sunday. Temperatures for the weekend look to cool a bit thanks to the cold front putting Saturday afternoon in the 40s and 50s, and Sunday rebounding back into the 50s and 60s. Overnight, temperatures will be mild with most locations in the 20s by Sunday morning. .LONG TERM...Sunday night through next Thursday. Changes will be underway as the upper ridge pushes eastward Sunday night. The next weather system is anticipated to be off the coast of the eastern Pacific. Winds may become breezy Sunday evening in Nye and White Pine counties. Expecting some light rain and snow showers to develop during the overnight Sunday into Monday, with the possibility of isolated to scattered showers hanging around through mid-week. Look for highs forecast to be in the 50s to lower 60s through Monday, with highs dipping to the 40s beyond. Lows in the 20s and 30s through Monday, with lows in the teens and 20s after Monday. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions expected at all TAF sites through the next 24 hours. Some breezy winds are possible tomorrow afternoon with some gusts to 25KT. Note: Amendments will not be available for KELY given no wind observations. && .LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ 94/86/86

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