Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 100300
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100300
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-100430-
Mesoscale Discussion 0741
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1000 PM CDT Thu May 09 2024
Areas affected...portions of far eastern Texas into central
Louisiana and western Mississippi
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225...
Valid 100300Z - 100430Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 225. Severe wind and hail should be the main threats over the
next few hours. However, upscale growth into one or more MCSs is
possible tonight, with severe winds becoming the primary threat.
DISCUSSION...Multiple semi-discrete supercells and multicellular
clusters persist across eastern TX into central MS amid a very
unstable and highly sheared troposphere. As such, any storms that
remain discrete will have the potential to continue producing severe
hail in addition to damaging gusts. There is also some potential for
upscale growth into one or more progressive, cold-pool-driven MCSs,
as indicated by the 01Z run of both the HRRR and Warn-on-Forecast
ensemble. Should this occur, focused corridors of severe winds could
accompany these MCSs. At the moment, the best potential for upscale
growth appear to be with the convective clusters in far eastern TX
and perhaps with rapidly intensifying storms in north-central LA.
..Squitieri.. 05/10/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...
LAT...LON 29979420 30749463 31379395 32399182 32749091 32689045
32319021 31849037 31519081 30739158 29979420