Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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533
ACUS11 KWNS 020013
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020012
TXZ000-020215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0594
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0712 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024

Areas affected...portions of central Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 020012Z - 020215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Severe threat may increase into the evening.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorm development is expected
to continue into the evening, with some uncertainty in the coverage
of severe potential. Guidance indicates a southern branch of a
southerly low-level jet will increase over the next few hours. This
may aid in more organized convection, with potential for upscale
growth. Thus far, the threat has remained widely scattered, though a
few cells near Austin and north of College Station have shown signs
of increasing intensity and lightning activity. This area will be
monitored for trends and potential watch issuance.

..Thornton/Guyer.. 05/02/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   30109655 29179703 28739750 28789820 29009839 30299878
            31499857 32249828 32509796 32509723 32359672 32149613
            32009593 31829577 31409566 31189566 31009572 30369649
            30109655