Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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000 FXUS63 KMKX 050230 AFDMKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 830 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021 .UPDATE... (Issued 830 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021) Forecast looks on track for tonight. Still expect a colder night with light winds as high pressure remains in place across the region. Anderson && .SHORT TERM... (Issued 200 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021) Tonight through Friday night: A ridge of high pressure will remain nearly stationary across the area this period. The lake clouds that have been brushing the far eastern counties are expected to head back offshore was low level winds turn more to the northwest. A slight modification of the low level thermal trough combined with more of a northwest wind regime on Friday should result in an uptick in temps. However may still see winds flop off the lake in the afternoon. The ridge and quiet conditions will persist into Friday night as well. Collar && .LONG TERM... (Issued 200 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021) Saturday through Monday: The high pressure will dominate again on Saturday. As the surface high treks southeast of the area Saturday night into Sunday a milder return flow sets up. An onshore flow is still likely for Sunday. There will be a low passing by to our north Sunday night into Monday. At this time expect the focus for precipitation is expected to remain to our north. Warmer 925 temps expected for Monday with west/southwest flow. Tuesday: A gusty southerly wind looks likely as pressure gradient tightens up ahead of next weather maker for our area. Should see further warming that could result in temps eclipsing the 60 degree mark. Tuesday night through Thursday: Decent dynamical system to affect the area this period. Should see rain chances on the increase Tuesday night into Wednesday. The surface low is proggd to track to our north and drag a cold front through here Wednesday night. Will hold off on mentioning thunder at this point with questions regarding instability casting some doubt 6 days out but wouldn`t be surprised for future inclusion as we draw closer. Again, system has some favorable dynamics going for it. A cooler day expected Thursday. Looks drier if we can get the front out of here, but some indications that it may get held up. Collar && .AVIATION... (Issued 830 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021) Light and variable winds are expected tonight as high pressure remains in place. Could be some very shallow ground fog that develops near KJVL. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions, with high clouds gradually dropping south across the area. Winds become west to northwest on Friday. Anderson && .MARINE... (Issued 200 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021) Small craft advisory will continue for the southern two zones. Otherwise high pressure dominates. Will start to see a more southerly wind amp up late in the weekend and through the middle of next week ahead of two separate low pressure systems. Collar && .MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...None. LM...Small Craft Advisory...LMZ645-LMZ646 until midnight Friday. && $$ Visit us at Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube at: is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.