Text Products for FWS Issued by MLB

Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
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FNUS72 KMLB 050845
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Three Lakes WMA - Williams Road 3S...Florida Fish & Wildlife Conservation Commission
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
445 AM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on July 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure stretching towards the local area from the western
Atlantic today. A slight chance of showers and storms in the late
morning, but the highest chance for seeing scattered showers and storms
will be from 1-5pm, as the sea breeze pushes inland. No min RH concerns.
Fair dispersion through mid afternoon becoming good in the late
afternoon. Scattered showers and storms possible again on Wednesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL increasing to 3200-5100 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 10 mph increasing to around 14 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 43.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  21  14  16  17  25  31  39  48  52  56  55
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   20  20  20  50  50  50  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
Temp............73  74  77  80  84  87  88  89  90  90  89  87
RH..............100 100 94  85  72  65  63  59  58  58  59  63
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.                                    14  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.9 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.4 5.1 5.0 3.4 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   7   10  14
Dispersion idx..1   2   4   9   9   11  13  14  20  29  40  45
LVORI...........10  10  6   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph until early morning
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......700-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 500-600 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 14 mph decreasing to around 3
                    mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....42 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........42     30     24     20     18     16
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).40     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............85     82     79     76     75     74
RH..............67     74     82     90     94     97
20 ft wind......E 12   E 9    SE 7   SE 6   SE 3   SE 2
20 ft wind gust.16
Mix hgt (ft)....2300   1800   800    800    600    500
Transport wind..E 14   E 12   E 12   SE 10  SE 7   SE 5
Dispersion idx..43     7      5      4      2      2
LVORI...........1      3      4      6      7      8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-1700 ft AGL increasing to 3600-5100 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 10 mph increasing to around 12
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 35.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........16        27        43        57
Weather cov.....                    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    LIKELY    LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0         60        60        60
LAL.............1         1         4         4
Temp............75        80        88        92
RH..............97        85        63        54
20 FT wind......SE 3      SE 5      SE 7      SE 9
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1700      4000      4300
Transport wind..SE 2      SE 3      SE 6      SE 8
Dispersion idx..1         7         26        38
LVORI...........9         4         2         2

$$
Forecaster...Leahy
Requested by...David Schutt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2214636.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/05/22
.EMAIL david.schutt@myfwc.com
National Weather Service National Headquarters
