Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
570
FNUS72 KMLB 111313
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Three Lakes - Road 15...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
913 AM EDT Fri Jul 11 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Light southerly winds back southeast at around 4 PM as the east
coast sea breeze passes the burn site. Isolated to scattered
showers after 12PM further increase in coverage after 3PM.
Temperatures climb into the low 90s, and humid conditions will
produce peak heat index values around 105 degrees. There are no
min RH concerns today. Afternoon smoke dispersion remains Fair
due to light winds.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the afternoon, then showers and
thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1200-1900 ft AGL increasing to 4200-4700 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the east at
5 to 10 mph in afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 29 late in the morning.
LVORI...............4 decreasing to 2 in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15 18 17 24 25 46 43 45 59
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 20 40 50 50 60
Temp............80 85 88 90 91 92 92 92 89
RH..............82 70 66 60 58 56 56 54 59
20 FT wind dir..S SW S SW SW S SW S SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 5 5 5 6 5 5 6
20 FT wind gust.5 6 8 9 8 9 9 10 12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.2 4.7 4.5 4.6 3.0
Transp wind dir.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW E
Transp wind spd.6 6 7 6 5 5 5 5 7
Dispersion idx..9 15 24 27 29 28 28 26 26
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
the evening. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest late in the evening, then becoming
light in the late evening and overnight. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
early in the evening.
Mixing height.......1300-2100 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the south 5
to 10 mph early in the evening, then becoming
light.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............Increasing to 8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59 66 64 60 57 47 34 30 20 26 16 20
Weather cov.....LKY CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60 50 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............87 85 81 79 78 77 76 76 75 75 74 73
RH..............63 70 79 85 88 90 94 94 97 94 97 97
20 FT wind dir..SE S SE SW S SE S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.12 12 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE S S SW SW S S S S SW SW S
Transp wind spd.8 12 10 10 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5
Dispersion idx..25 18 7 7 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400-1400 ft AGL increasing to 3500-4300 ft AGL
late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the west in
the late morning and early afternoon, then
shifting to the southeast mph late in the
afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 25.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 2.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23 14 16 17 20 23 29 34 40 45 49 54
Weather cov..... LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60
Temp............73 72 76 80 84 88 89 91 92 91 90 89
RH..............100 100 97 85 74 68 65 60 58 60 62 61
20 FT wind dir..S S S SW S S S S SE SE SE E
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT wind gust.5 3 5 3 5 6 7 7 8 9 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.0 3.7 3.4
Transp wind dir.S S SW SW W W W W W W S E
Transp wind spd.5 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7
Dispersion idx..2 2 2 7 10 13 15 21 24 24 24 25
LVORI...........9 10 9 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
$$
Forecaster...Haley
Requested by...Steve Glass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517815.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com