Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 250800
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
400 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Another warm day is on tap for the region, with increasing
chances for showers and thunderstorms as the day progresses.
For the holiday weekend, and even into early next week, rainy
conditions are expected. A developing low pressure system in
the Gulf of Mexico will migrate northward spreading precipitation
across the region through the holiday weekend.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
400 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      78-83 (-3)   61-66 (+1)   76-81
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (+6)   95-100 (+2)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.17         0.11         0.30
LAL                   3            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4500                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    66000                     60000
Dispersion            39 Fair                   31 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5                      SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
400 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (-2)   59-64 (0)    73-78
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (0)    93-98 (0)    61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           70
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.17         0.15         0.37
LAL                   4            2            4
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6800                      5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4000                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      SW  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    68000                     48600
Dispersion            37 Fair                   22 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7         S  5         SW  5

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-260900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
400 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (-5)   59-64 (-1)   74-79
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (+5)   93-98 (+2)   58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           70
Precip duration       2            1            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.30         0.17         0.36
LAL                   4            2            4
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      5900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3600                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   S  6                      SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    39600                     59000
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               27 Fair
Max LVORI             5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  7

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-260900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
400 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (-5)   62-67 (-1)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (+6)   95-100 (+2)  58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           40           60
Precip duration       2            1            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.24         0.16         0.30
LAL                   4            2            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      5300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4100                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7                      SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    42700                     63600
Dispersion            24 Fair                   32 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         S  6         SW  7

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-260900-
Nantahala National Forest-
400 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (-6)   61-66 (-1)   76-81
RH % (24h trend)      63-68 (+7)   95-100 (+3)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.28         0.19         0.29
LAL                   4            2            4
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6700                      5300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4400                      3100
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  8                     SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    53600                     53000
Dispersion            28 Fair                   28 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  7        SE  5        S  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260900-
East Tennessee District East-
400 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (-4)   62-67 (+1)   78-83
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (+6)   92-97 (-3)   54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.19         0.12         0.32
LAL                   4            2            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4300                      3100
Transport wnd (mph)   S  8                      SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    46400                     46000
Dispersion            28 Fair                   28 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph
early in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260900-
East Tennessee District West-
400 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      80-85 (-4)   63-68 (0)    80-85
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+6)   93-98 (0)    52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           30           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.20         0.12         0.29
LAL                   4            2            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4700                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)   S  8                      SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    48000                     47000
Dispersion            32 Fair                   31 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph
early in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-260900-
Cumberland District South-
400 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018 /300 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      80-85 (-5)   63-68 (-1)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      56-61 (+8)   95-100 (+2)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.15         0.33
LAL                   3            2            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4200                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7                      S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    37800                     56400
Dispersion            27 Fair                   34 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         S  5         S  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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