Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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041 FXUS64 KOHX 171712 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1212 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1119 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Showers continue to lift through Middle Tennessee this morning. Showers are expected to become less numerous this afternoon through the overnight hours. Patchy fog and low clouds will develop overnight along with a couple scattered showers as the trough axis remains to the west of the area. The trough axis will slowly move eastward on Saturday with additional shower activity possible and a couple of storms. The highest rain chances will be along the plateau with lower chances the farther west you go. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1119 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Some patchy fog will be possible again Saturday night, otherwise Saturday night should be mainly dry. A couple of showers can`t be ruled out on Sunday along the plateau but elongated upper ridging will build in from the west with temperatures rebounding into the 80s. Monday and Tuesday continue to look warm with highs getting into the upper 80s and potentially touching 90 degrees. Models have slowed down rain chances from Tuesday night/Wednesday to Wednesday night/Thursday. This means Wednesday will be another warm day with temperatures in the 80s. && .AVIATION...
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(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Flight categories will continue to vary greatly through the current TAF period as VCSH moves through the area. More widespread low cigs are expected overnight, likely lowering all TAF sites to at least MVFR if not lower after 06Z. Periods of fog will likely develop overnight as well, slowly clearing around to after 13Z. Light winds continue, remaining at or below 5 kts.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Nashville 63 80 63 86 / 30 60 20 10 Clarksville 61 79 62 85 / 20 40 10 0 Crossville 59 73 58 79 / 60 70 50 30 Columbia 61 79 61 85 / 30 70 30 10 Cookeville 61 75 60 80 / 50 70 50 20 Jamestown 58 74 58 80 / 60 70 50 20 Lawrenceburg 63 78 62 84 / 30 70 30 10 Murfreesboro 62 79 62 85 / 30 70 20 10 Waverly 61 79 61 85 / 20 50 10 10
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&& .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Reagan LONG TERM....Reagan AVIATION.....Adcock