Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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387 FXUS64 KOHX 171645 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1145 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM...
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(Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1119 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Showers continue to lift through Middle Tennessee this morning. Showers are expected to become less numerous this afternoon through the overnight hours. Patchy fog and low clouds will develop overnight along with a couple scattered showers as the trough axis remains to the west of the area. The trough axis will slowly move eastward on Saturday with additional shower activity possible and a couple of storms. The highest rain chances will be along the plateau with lower chances the farther west you go.
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&& .LONG TERM...
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(Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1119 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Some patchy fog will be possible again Saturday night, otherwise Saturday night should be mainly dry. A couple of showers can`t be ruled out on Sunday along the plateau but elongated upper ridging will build in from the west with temperatures rebounding into the 80s. Monday and Tuesday continue to look warm with highs getting into the upper 80s and potentially touching 90 degrees. Models have slowed down rain chances from Tuesday night/Wednesday to Wednesday night/Thursday. This means Wednesday will be another warm day with temperatures in the 80s.
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&& .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 540 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Rain will continue to overspread airports this morning into the afternoon, with current VFR cigs/vis lowering to MVFR later this morning and IFR/LIFR at CSV/SRB tonight. TS is possible at airports but too unlikely to mention in TAFs. Light and variable winds are expected this TAF period, but generally southeast at 5 knots or less. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Nashville 74 63 80 63 / 90 30 60 20 Clarksville 73 61 79 62 / 90 20 40 10 Crossville 69 59 73 58 / 90 60 70 50 Columbia 73 61 79 61 / 90 30 70 30 Cookeville 71 61 75 60 / 90 50 70 50 Jamestown 71 58 74 58 / 90 60 70 50 Lawrenceburg 72 63 78 62 / 90 30 70 30 Murfreesboro 74 62 79 62 / 90 30 70 20 Waverly 74 61 79 61 / 90 20 50 10
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&& .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Reagan LONG TERM....Reagan AVIATION.....Shamburger