Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 270811 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 411 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Warm and humid through the holiday weekend. The threat for showers and storms continues today, but Monday looks dry. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... The focus for showers and storms today will shift to the eastern half of the area this morning as the trough axis makes its way into Central PA. Trough axis gets hung up and stretched to the southwest this afternoon as another wave moves northeast within the axis. With plenty of moisture stuck over the region, and the intrusion of large scale ascent, will need to keep in the mention of PoPs through the afternoon, mainly over the eastern half of the area. Humidity and warmth will remain over the region. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/... Convection potential for Monday and Tuesday looks to be capped as broad upper high pressure builds over the region. Pattern thus favors continued well above average temperature. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Warm and humid conditions are expected through the extended with daily chances for showers and storms as low pressure currently over the gulf is progged to impact the region later in the week. && .AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Sct to nmrs shra and tsra will plague the region overnight as a shortwave trough crosses the region. Expect MVFR with lcl IFR in locally heavy rainfall. Terminals that receive rainfall will have the better chance for persistent restriction in the form of fog and stratus through the peri-dawn of Sunday. Improvement back to VFR is then expected through midday Sunday with declining shower activity. OUTLOOK... General VFR can be expected into midweek outside of isolated to scattered convection. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$ is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.