Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 240800 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 400 AM EDT Sat Mar 24 2018 .SYNOPSIS... The forecast calls for a cold but dry weekend. The chance for rain returns to the forecast Tuesday and continues through the rest of the week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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Models continue to trend further south with low pressure, meaning the most expected here is an increase in high clouds. Minor temperature moderation today, as the airmass will change very little.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/... Surface high pressure will continue to build across the eastern Great Lakes along with an upper level ridge. This should allow dry conditions to persist. While Sunday`s high temperatures will be similar to today`s values, highs on Monday should be 5 to 10 degrees warmer. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... A slow moving cold front will be the major player in the extended forecast. While the GFS and ECMWF differ in the timing on how long the front will take to move through the region, both are coming into better agreement that the front will come through mid week, with another wave of low pressure developing along the front and moving northeast by the end of the week. Added likely pops to the forecast by Wednesday with decent model agreement during that time period, but did not have enough confidence to add likely pops at any other time, although this will be needed at some point. Highs should be more seasonable during the work week, with highs in the 50s most of the time. && .AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... VFR conditions expected through the forecast period. OUTLOOK... The next chance of general restrictions may arrive by Tuesday with a cold front. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$ is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.