Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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000
FXUS64 KSJT 050451
AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1051 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 201 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021
An upper level low will track across Oklahoma overnight, sending a
cold front through the area Friday morning. Overnight lows ahead of
the front will be in the low to mid 40s. Winds during the morning
hours will be from the northwest at 10 to 20 mph, then become north
during the afternoon, at 15 to 25 mph, with higher gusts. Winds look
to remain just below Wind Advisory Criteria, but could get close,
especially across the northern half of the area. Will allow the
midnight shift make the final call on whether to issue an advisory
or not. Cooler temperatures are forecast on Friday, with highs in
the 60s to lower 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 201 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021
Due to the cold frontal passage mentioned in the short term
forecast discussion, cool and dry conditions will continue into
this weekend. Look for high temperatures to gradually warm into
the upper 70s and lower 80s by the middle part of next week. The
next disturbance may develop over the Four Corners Region bringing
our next possibility for rainfall. However, this remains highly
uncertain at this time.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1038 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021
VFR conditions will continue through the overnight hours across
West Central Texas terminals. WInds will shift to the west before
sunrise, and then to the northwest and north during the day on
Friday. Winds will gust near or over 30 knots across most
terminals on Friday afternoon. Models are showing a better
indication of low cloudiness behind the front moving to near the
KABI terminal by late Friday afternoon and evening, and perhaps
spreading farther south. Will confine to KABI for now but will
need to watch.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 47 63 41 61 / 5 0 0 0
San Angelo 45 69 41 62 / 0 0 0 0
Junction 45 73 42 63 / 0 0 0 0
Brownwood 45 68 43 62 / 0 0 0 0
Sweetwater 48 62 41 60 / 0 0 0 0
Ozona 44 69 41 61 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Daniels
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...07