


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --492 FXUS64 KSJT 281111 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 611 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - A marginal risk for severe weather across the southeast part of the area Saturday night. - Above normal temperatures expected again over the weekend with temperatures back into the mid 80s to mid 90s for Saturday. - Cooler temperatures return by Monday, with above normal temperatures again by mid to late week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 240 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 The upper-level disturbance continues to push further eastward this morning, continuing to bring showers to much of west central Texas through mid-day today. Best rain chances remain focused over an area south and east of a line from Abilene to Sonora through early this afternoon. Conditions will begin to clear up and dry out by this afternoon as day-time heating increases with some sunshine making its way though. The light southerly winds and plenty of sunshine will lead to afternoon high temperatures reaching into the upper 70s to mid 80s today. As the warming trend into this weekend begins, slightly warmer overnight low temperatures tonight will only fall into the mid 50s to lower 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 222 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Expect mainly above normal temperatures and mainly dry weather for this weekend and next week. Expect low level southerly flow and warm 850 temperatures will result in highs in the 80s to mid 90s. The only exception will be Monday with highs in the 70s after the passage of a cold front. There are low chances for rain Saturday night and Tuesday night. For Saturday night, isolated thunderstorms are possible along a dryline east of an Abilene to San Angelo to Sonora line. Any storms that can develop may become severe due to moderate instability and deep layer shear. The main hazards will be large hail and damaging winds. Otherwise, expect a dry forecast for much of the long term with no significant impact weather at this time. && .AVIATION...-- Changed Discussion --(12Z TAFS) Issued at 553 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 A few showers around KBBD and KABI this morning, along with low ceilings around KSOA, KJCT, and KSJT this morning will keep MVFR to IFR conditions in the TAF package through much of the morning. The MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected to improve to VFR ceilings between 18Z and 21Z this morning as the region begins to warm back up and dry out over the next few days. Winds are expected to remain generally light and southerly through the TAF package across all terminals today.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 80 60 93 63 / 30 0 0 10 San Angelo 81 59 91 60 / 20 0 0 20 Junction 80 57 90 60 / 50 0 0 20 Brownwood 77 57 91 61 / 60 0 10 20 Sweetwater 82 61 92 61 / 10 0 0 10 Ozona 81 59 88 61 / 20 0 0 20 Brady 78 59 90 63 / 50 0 10 20 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...TP LONG TERM....21 AVIATION...TP