Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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823
FXUS65 KBYZ 072206
AFDBYZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT
306 PM MST Thu Nov 7 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warmer and mainly dry conditions into the weekend, small
  rain/snow chances over far SE Montana and over the
  Absaroka/Beartooth Ranges.

- Strong wind potential west of Billings (especially along I-90)
  Sunday into Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Today through Friday night...

With high pressure building into the region, warm and dry
conditions can be expected through Friday. Pressure gradients over
the western foothills will continue to break down, allowing for
winds to decrease through the afternoon. Low temperatures tonight
will be in the 20s to low 30s. High temperatures Friday will be in
the 50s to low 60s. TS

Saturday through Wednesday

Main forecast concerns are on breezy southwest wind potential in the
foothills Saturday night and again Sunday night into Monday. Rain
could (20-40% Chance) impact far southeast MT Saturday night. Focus
then turns to high elevation snow and low elevation rain/snow
chances Monday night into Tuesday.

Ridging will be the dominate weather feature over the forecast area
into the weekend, however, low pressure tracking through the Central
Plains could bring light rain to southeast Montana Saturday night.
There is a 20-40 percent chance that portions of Carter and Powder
River Counties could receive measurable rain (>0.01 inches).  A
trough approaches the region early next weak and a weak shortwave
could move through ahead of the main trough Sunday into Sunday night
producing snow/rain showers over the Absaroka/Beartooth Ranges. WPC
Clusters show fairly good agreement on a troughing pattern
developing over the western CONUS by the middle of next week but
there remains high uncertainty in the depth and exact position of
the trough axis, will have to keep a close eye on this in future
model runs.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. The breezy
winds over KBIL, KLVM, and other airports along the western
foothills will decrease this afternoon. Arends

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Fri     Sat     Sun     Mon     Tue     Wed     Thu
-----------------------------------------------------------
BIL 031/057 034/060 038/056 034/060 037/050 030/051 033/054
    00/U    00/U    00/E    00/B    33/R    10/B    11/B
LVM 027/059 030/060 033/054 031/057 031/045 024/048 031/052
    00/U    00/U    11/N    11/N    65/O    11/N    22/O
HDN 023/055 026/057 029/056 029/060 033/051 027/052 028/055
    00/U    00/U    01/B    10/B    34/R    10/B    01/B
MLS 023/055 029/055 030/056 029/058 034/052 028/051 028/054
    00/U    01/B    00/B    00/B    13/R    10/U    00/B
4BQ 026/055 034/054 032/056 031/060 037/052 029/050 029/055
    00/U    01/B    00/B    00/U    13/R    10/U    00/B
BHK 022/058 030/055 030/055 026/056 032/052 025/049 025/054
    00/U    01/B    10/N    00/U    12/R    10/U    00/B
SHR 026/058 029/058 030/056 027/061 031/051 024/051 026/056
    00/U    01/B    01/B    10/U    26/R    20/U    01/B

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
WY...None.

&&

$$
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