Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
265
FXUS61 KCAR 092354
AFDCAR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
Issued by National Weather Service Gray ME
754 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
- Updated aviation section with the issuance of the 00z TAFs
- Dropped Small Craft Advisory for the intracoastals tonight.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Warm temperatures and breezy winds Sunday before the next
rain chances early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Warm temperatures and breezy winds Sunday
before the next rain chances early next week.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
High pressure builds over the region Saturday and Saturday night
before moving offshore Sunday. The remnants of Hurricane Isaias
lift into the OH Valley on Sunday with moisture funneling up
into southern areas late Sunday night into Monday morning.
Breezy southwest winds will also funnel warm temperatures into
the area Sunday into Monday. Highs will top out in the 60s both
days, some 3-8 degrees above normal.
As the system moves off the southern New England coast, it
could bring a chance of showers for the Downeast coast late Sunday
night into Monday. Rain chances could decrease if the system
stays further south, though there is still a good amount of
uncertainty at this time. A separate low pressure develops over
the Great Lakes Monday night as a trough deepens behind the
departing tropical remnants. This will bring a chance of rain
early-mid next week.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Tonight through Saturday...VFR. West/northwest winds 10 to 15
kts, with gusts 20-25 kts in the afternoon. Brief 40 kt LLWS
possible at northern terminals from KHUL north late tonight,
dissipating past sunrise.
Saturday night...VFR. Light and variable winds.
Sunday and Sunday night...VFR. Winds from the south/southwest at
10-15 kts gusting up to 25 kts.
Monday and Monday night...VFR/MVFR for a chance of scattered
showers throughout the day. Higher chances for rain for
Downeast and northern terminals. WSW winds at 5-10 kts with
gusts up to 20 kts. Winds shift to the north Monday afternoon,
and east by Monday night.
Tuesday-Tuesday night...MVFR/IFR for scattered showers across
the area. SE/S winds at 5-10 gusting up to 20 kts.
Wednesday...MVFR/VFR with possibly isolated to scattered
showers. N winds 5-15kts.
&&
.MARINE...
Winds increase above small craft levels over the coastal ocean
waters after midnight tonight. Marginal wind gusts to 25kts over
the intracoastal also expected but think this will be more of
the upper limit.
Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels Saturday afternoon
though remain above 25kts over the outer waters. Wind and seas
could reach marginal small craft advisory conditions Sunday
afternoon through early Monday. Winds/seas will be below small
craft levels Monday afternoon and night. Seas will reach small
craft levels Tuesday through the middle of the week. Rain
possible Monday and Tuesday.
&&
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 2 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ050-
051.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...AES/21
AVIATION...AES/21