Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 141102

National Weather Service Hastings NE
602 AM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...Aviation Update...

.DISCUSSION...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 558 AM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

The weather pattern continues to reflect a prolonged cool spell with
good chances for precipitation Thursday night through Friday night.

The pattern aloft today shows the Central Plains in between a couple
of low pressure systems with the western system in the Great Basin
area and the eastern system in the lower Great Lakes region. We are
expecting to see cloud cover increase from the west today and some
light precip cannot be ruled out this aftn in our far western
counties in presence of weak lift. Cloud bases are fairly high so
not looking for much in the way of precip/accumulations and precip
may end up being more of the sprinkle type but did include a small
pop for light rain west of the Kearney/Holdrege areas...which are
more in line with the high resolution models. Have trended temps
slightly cooler today given the expected cloud cover and still cool
airmass with readings ranging from the upper 40s in the Ord area to
the low/mid 50s in KS.

Bigger changes to our weather arrive in the Thursday night through
Friday night time frames when the western upper low gets kicked out
and emerges from the Rockies and crosses the Central Plains. Precip
chances continue to trend a little slower, with just small pops in
our western zones during the daytime Thursday. Then as the better
lift/dynamics arrive with the system Thursday night/Friday, precip
becomes widespread across our region. Precip type is still expected
to primarily fall as rain, especially during the daytime hours,
however our western zones could see more of a rain/snow mix or a
change to snow at times (especially at night) with light snow
accumulations possible mainly on grassy or elevated surfaces.

Precip is expected to taper off heading into Saturday, but we remain
in a cool regime with another lobe of energy translating thru our
area. Sunday is shaping up to be one of the milder days in the
upcoming forecast in between systems with dry weather conditions and
high temps averaging in the upper 50s.

Heading into next week, a Canadian upper trough crossing the
interior CONUS is poised to send another strong cold front across
the plains. Models advertise a good shot of cold air with the system
next week and another round of precip is looking favorable with
rain/snow chances.

Overall our pattern remains in the cool side for at least a week
with several days with high temps in the 40s/50s and lows in the 20s
and 30s. Extended models suggest we are about 10 days out before we
see a pattern change/warming trend.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 12Z Thursday)
Issued at 601 AM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period. Look for
increasing mid/high clouds the next 24 hours with winds from the





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