Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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324 FXUS64 KLZK 250600 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1200 AM CST Sat Jan 25 2025 ...New Aviation... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 249 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2025 High pressure is in the process of exiting to the east this afternoon. That will result in a south/southwest wind and a warmup through Saturday. This will be just ahead of a cold front arriving from the Plains. The front will bring chances of precipitation this weekend. It will be too mild for anything but showers Saturday and Sunday, especially over central and southern Arkansas. Rainfall is not impressive overall, with quarter to half inch amounts in the forecast toward the Louisiana border. Behind the front on Sunday, the wind will shift to the northeast. After above average temperatures on Saturday, readings will be a little below average to close the weekend. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday Night through next Friday) Issued at 249 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2025 Zonal flow will be across much of the southern U.S. to begin the long term period with an upper low over central California. This low will move to near the Four Corners Region Tuesday and Wednesday before moving south on Thursday. Southwest flow returns to Arkansas Friday ahead of the low which will be moving into Texas. High pressure will be over the southeast U.S. Saturday night. A cold front will bring chances of rain for Saturday night through Sunday night. High pressure builds into the area Monday and Tuesday. As a result Monday and Tuesday will be dry. Another round of precipitation is expected Tuesday night through Friday, associated with a stationary front along the Gulf coast. Heavier rain is expected Thursday and Thursday night. Near normal temperatures are expected for most of the extended period. && .Aviation... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1157 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2025 SRLY winds will increase through Sat as the SFC pressure gradient tightens across the region. Moisture levels will increase...but rain chances look to remain low through most of this TAF period. Those rain chances increase late Sat night into Sun. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Batesville AR 29 51 32 45 / 0 0 10 10 Camden AR 29 58 41 50 / 0 0 60 60 Harrison AR 30 49 29 41 / 0 0 10 0 Hot Springs AR 29 54 38 47 / 0 0 40 30 Little Rock AR 28 55 37 47 / 0 0 30 30 Monticello AR 30 56 41 48 / 0 0 40 60 Mount Ida AR 30 55 37 49 / 0 0 30 20 Mountain Home AR 28 50 29 42 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 27 50 34 44 / 0 0 10 10 Pine Bluff AR 29 55 39 48 / 0 0 40 40 Russellville AR 28 54 35 48 / 0 0 10 10 Searcy AR 25 52 34 46 / 0 0 20 10 Stuttgart AR 30 53 39 47 / 0 0 30 30 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...46 LONG TERM....51 AVIATION...62