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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
394
FXUS64 KMAF 180815
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
315 AM CDT Sun Apr 18 2021

.DISCUSSION...
The upper jet stream remains positioned over West Texas and
extends westward along the Mexico/U.S. border this morning
creating enough instability for light showers across our CWA. A
ridge over the West Coast is providing northerly flow over the
Central Plains that continues to funnel cool air into Texas and
eastern New Mexico keeping temps below normal through this week.
Rain chances will continue for much of the Permian Basin and Big
Bend through tomorrow due to lift from an upper level low sitting
over Arizona, unfortunately any rainfall amounts will be light
with few accumulations over a tenth of an inch.

Tuesday, an upper level trough digs south along the Rocky
Mountains combining with the Arizona low to bring our next cold
front on Tuesday. This cold front will lack moisture so mostly
clear skies will modify the post frontal airmass more than that
seen from our other recent cold fronts, though still keeping us
below normal. The West Coast ridge finally begins breaking down
by the middle of the week creating a more progressive pattern for
the U.S. causing temperatures to warm back to near normal by the
end of the week. Will have to keep an eye on a trough moving
across New Mexico and Texas on Friday for the possibility of
additional rainfall, however at this time it appears the best
moisture will remain to our east and will leave rain chances out
of the forecast for now.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     62  42  69  44 /  10   0  10   0
Carlsbad                       55  39  71  42 /  50  10  20   0
Dryden                         65  50  70  48 /  10  20  30   0
Fort Stockton                  59  45  68  49 /  20  20  40   0
Guadalupe Pass                 48  40  64  44 /  30  20  30   0
Hobbs                          56  37  68  37 /  40   0  10   0
Marfa                          57  37  66  36 /  10  40  40  10
Midland Intl Airport           60  42  67  44 /  20   0  10   0
Odessa                         60  42  68  44 /  30   0  10   0
Wink                           60  41  71  43 /  40  10  20   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

87/10