Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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FXUS65 KREV 282209
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
209 PM PST Sun Feb 28 2021

.SYNOPSIS...

Dry conditions with above average daytime temperatures will
prevail for much of this week. Breezy south winds are expected for
Monday afternoon becoming lighter through mid-week. The next
chance for rain or snow may arrive by this upcoming weekend, but
a significant storm is unlikely.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

Tranquil conditions out there this afternoon with light easterly
breezes and some faint cirrus clouds. Current temperatures are on
the cool side across the region, but feels comfortable when in the
sunlight.

High pressure remains in control through Tuesday with a warming
trend expected during this time. After today, afternoon high
temperatures are forecast to be around 5 degrees above average for
Monday and Tuesday, an indication that meteorological spring is
starting off on the right foot. Overnight lows will continue to be
cold, but closer to average for this time of year.

Winds become breezy from the south-southwest for Monday afternoon
in response to an upper-level wave breaking off the jet stream
and becoming a cut-off low, centered around 800 miles off the
California coast. Tuesday will likely feature more stable, zonal
flow with the axis of the deamplified ridge near the Four Corners
region during this time resulting in more tranquil weather for the
Sierra and western Nevada. -LaGuardia

.LONG TERM...Wednesday through next weekend...

Fairly quiet weather for the second half of the week as we see
continued warming into next weekend. A closed low off the Pacific
Coast will swing inland over Southern CA late Wednesday into
Thursday bringing a very slight chance of light snowfall to Mono
County (less than 10% of an inch of snowfall in the Eastern Sierra).
The main impact will just be some increasing clouds for areas south
of Highway 50 late Wednesday into Thursday morning.

After that low pressure moves through southern Nevada, we will
see ridging pump up over CA/NV on Friday, along with increasing
southwest flow over the northern portions of the forecast area. We
have trended the winds stronger over the area with gusts up to 30
mph in the valleys and temperatures bumping up to mid 60s in
western Nevada due to some good mixing and warm air ahead of the
next front.

There is a chance of precipitation (20-30%) by next weekend as low
pressure moves into the Pacific Northwest and the California coast.
Even with this low chance, the latest ensemble clusters are showing
more likelihood of a drier forecast for next weekend. Gusty winds
will also be a potential for next weekend if we get any storm
systems to drop into northern CA/NV. -Hoon

&&

.AVIATION...

Lighter winds today and tonight with VFR conditions. South winds
will increase slightly tomorrow, but nothing serious. Lighter winds
and VFR conditions continue through the week with potential for
weather systems to move into the region Friday-Saturday with gusty
winds for area terminals. -Hoon

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

NV...None.
CA...None.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/reno



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