Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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FXUS65 KREV 172130

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
230 PM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018


A quiet weather pattern will be in place through the weekend as
high pressure strengthens across the region. Light winds, dry
conditions, and warming temperatures are expected. The forecast
remains dry with no signals for significant precipitation until  the
middle of next week where there are some indications of a  pattern
shift to a more unsettled and wetter scenario.


Few changes made to the short term with the pseudo Rex Block
pattern in place into the weekend. The ridge axis is expected to
remain over the Cascades with the low over the Desert Southwest.
The low is expected to split this weekend with a weakness
developing along the California coast.

The sensible weather effects through Saturday are minimal other
than a brief increase in winds Thursday night over the ridges and
Lake Tahoe. Sunday, with the ensembles in better agreement showing
the low along the coast, some moisture will get pulled north and
west toward Mono and Mineral Counties. While showers look minimal
at this time, we will continue to mention a slight chance Sunday
night into Monday south of Bridgeport and Hawthorne. Temperatures
will continue to remain near average overall with mild days and
cold nights.

Next week, the pattern does appear to be a little more active
with a weak to moderate atmospheric river expected along the
coast. Ensembles show the AR to focus more on the Pacific
Northwest, and hitting late Tuesday into Thursday. A few members
take it as far south as northern California. Will continue to
mention a slight chance to chance of showers north of I-80 for the
middle of next week given there is a threat for the southward
position. Winds will also increase with this feature, but have
not shown as much of an increase at this time. X


VFR with light winds through Friday. Winds will generally be east
to northeast at less than 10 kts. The ridges will be slightly
stronger with the strongest ridge wind gusts to 35 kts Thursday
night. Very little cloud cover is expected with some increase in
clouds possible late in the weekend, but of the mid and high
variety. X


.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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