Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KRLX 051311 AFDRLX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 911 AM EDT Mon Jun 5 2023 .SYNOPSIS... Afternoon mountain showers/storms possible today. A moisture starved cold front Tuesday, followed by an upper level disturbance Wednesday. High pressure Thursday into the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --
As of 910 AM Monday... No changes were necessary. As of 220 AM Monday... Slightly cooler day expected today with the lowlands likely struggling to hit the 80 degree mark during peak heating. Slightly lower temperatures anticipated across the higher terrain and the mountains with mid 60s to mid 70s expected. Dewpoints will be on the decline along with the temperatures therefore expect to feel very comfortable today and tonight as drier air from the upper levels mixes down. With a cold front to our south and a surface low some clouds will be observed across the area by this afternoon, buy they will mainly be mid to high clouds. Some lower clouds may be observed along the mountains and south of Beckley where that low feature is suppose to traverse nearby. Outside that, a relatively quiet weather day with light northeasterly flow and sunny skies for most of the day. There are some slight chances for a shower and/or thunderstorm to develop near that aforementioned low during the afternoon and into the evening, but probability is low at this time. Generally, any activity should be confined to the mountains and southeast of our area.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... As of 300 AM Monday... A moisture starved cold front will push southward through the area Tuesday and Tuesday night. Precipitation will be limited, but some models do indicate some possible showers. An upper level disturbance will then interact with the front on Wednesday and provide a chance for showers and thunderstorms for much of the area, with the best chances over southern West Virginia and southwest Virginia. Cooler air behind the front will provide for temperatures below normal for this time of year Wednesday and Wednesday night. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 300 AM Monday... A high pressure system will build over the area on Thursday, slowly shifting eastward into the weekend. This will provide dry weather with below normal temperatures Thursday and Friday, with temperatures warming some for the weekend. Another cold front will effect the area late in the weekend or early next week, providing chances of showers and thunderstorms. && .AVIATION /13Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
As of 630 AM Monday... North-northeasterly flow should start to pick up and scour out that valley fog we have within the next hour or so. BKW is dealing with low stratus currently, which should lift by late morning. Other sites such as CRW/EKN are dealing with fog which will burn off soon. By the early afternoon all sites should become VFR under mostly clear skies with some mid to high clouds rolling through during the afternoon. Smoke from up north may cause the sky to look hazy today, but no restrictions to VIS are expected. A low, forecast to be south of us by the afternoon, could push some more low clouds and/or a rain shower into BKW during the daytime, but probability is not high enough at this time to place mention into TAFs. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: None. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 EDT 1HRLY 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 CRW CONSISTENCY L M H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H M H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY L L M H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H AFTER 12Z TUESDAY... No widespread IFR conditions are anticipated.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...RPY/JZ NEAR TERM...SL/JZ SHORT TERM...RPY LONG TERM...RPY AVIATION...JZ is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.