Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000 FXUS64 KSJT 231121 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 621 AM CDT Wed Jun 23 2021 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 342 AM CDT Wed Jun 23 2021 Hot and dry weather will continue for today and tonight. In fact, we`ll see similar conditions to yesterday. However, high temperatures will be a bit higher in the upper 90s. Expect cloudy skies to give way to plenty of sunshine for this afternoon. Winds will become gusty late this morning and continue through this evening. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 335 AM CDT Wed Jun 23 2021 No significant changes from the previous forecast. Still expecting to see hot, humid weather with no precip from Thursday into Saturday, as an upper level ridge remains parked over the area. Heat Index values could reach as high as 105 degrees north of I-20 Thursday and Friday as highs warm into the mid/upper 90s and combine with dewpoint values in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees. This combination of upper 90 degree heat, and relatively high moisture content will result in these high Heat Index values. The GFS and ECMWF continue to show this ridge weakening from Saturday into the first half of next week, along with a cold front moving in and stalling over the region. Models have slowed the speed of the front slightly, bringing it into our northern counties by late Saturday night into Sunday. The front will then become somewhat stationary, but should make slow progress south through our CWA with the aid of convection. With the ridge weakened, and a semi-stationary boundary in the area, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected, mainly now from Sunday into Tuesday due to the slower arrival of the cold front. Will also see cooler temperatures for the entire area from Sunday into Tuesday. Areas north of I-20 could see somewhat cooler temperatures as early as Saturday, if the front ends up moving in faster than anticipated. && .AVIATION...
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(12Z TAFS) Issued at 618 AM CDT Wed Jun 23 2021 Some patchy MVFR ceilings will continue for a couple more hours this morning. However, these ceilings will clear out during the later part of the morning. VFR conditions with breezy winds will be in store for this afternoon.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 96 75 97 74 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 98 73 98 73 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 94 73 95 72 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 95 73 97 74 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 96 73 97 73 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 93 73 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...41 LONG TERM....20 AVIATION...41

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