Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 250044
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
844 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

.DISCUSSION...
A trough of low pressure is developing across south FL this
evening with areas of showers lifting up over the area from the
south. Activity is diminishing this evening, but is expected to
increase again in coverage near sunrise, and overspread much of
the area through the day Monday. Heavy rainfall causing some minor
flooding and occasional strong wind gusts are the main expected
hazards with this. Current forecast is on track with it and have
only made a few minor adjustments for this evening.

&&

.AVIATION...
Easterly flow will be in place through much of the period, with
intermittent rain through the overnight hours, then heavier and
more steady rain chances through the day and also some occasional
thunder possible in the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
A trough of low pressure is developing across south FL this
evening, and is expected to lift north over the area through
Monday night. This will bring showers and a few thunderstorms as
well as increase winds to advisory levels tonight through Monday.
High pressure builds back into the area behind this, with winds
and seas subsiding through the rest of the period. Current
forecast is on track with this and have little change for the
update.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  73  81  74  86 /  70  90  60  60
FMY  72  81  74  86 /  90  90  70  70
GIF  72  80  71  87 /  60  90  70  80
SRQ  72  82  74  87 /  80  90  60  60
BKV  71  82  70  88 /  60  90  60  60
SPG  74  81  75  85 /  70  90  60  60

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Monday for Coastal waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 8 PM EDT Monday for Waters
     from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...24/Hubbard
UPPER AIR/DECISION SUPPORT...04/Sobien



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