Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
275 FXUS65 KTWC 071606 AFDTWC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 905 AM MST Sat Sep 7 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Warmer than normal temperatures will persist through the next week along with dry weather continues. && .UPDATE...Gusty east winds this morning with the more prone spots seeing gusts in excess of 30 mph. Expect the gusty winds to continue through the day, though a slight decrease is expected this afternoon. The gusty winds are due to an enhanced pressure gradient due to high pressure to our north and northeast and lower pressure over Mexico. Still quite dry aloft with some subsidence around 500 mb so today will remain dry with highs near normal south and east of Tucson to around 2 to 6 degrees above normal from Tucson westward. Forecast looks good this morning. No updates. && .DISCUSSION...Easterly surface winds remain elevated this morning, especially for area that are prone to gusty east winds. Expect these gusty winds will to be around for much of the weekend. Easterly flow aloft this weekend with the area between high pressure centered near the 4 corners and a weak inverted trof to our south. Next week an upper level trough settles in over the western US as the week progresses. High temperatures for the next 7 days will mostly remain several degrees above normal. && .AVIATION... Valid through 08/12Z. SKC-FEW clouds at or above 10k ft AGL through the forecast period. SFC winds E/SE 10-20 kts with gusts to 30 kts. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...Dry with minimum RH values below 15 percent at times in lower elevations. East winds 10 to 20 with gusts to 30 mph today and Sunday becoming diurnally driven each day next week. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson