Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FGUS72 KTBW 072057

Probabilistic Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
357 PM EST Wed Mar 7 2018

...Spring Flood Potential Outlook...

...The threat for spring flooding across west central and
southwest Florida is below normal...

Several months of below normal rainfall has allowed rivers and
streams across the forecast area to drop to near normal or below
seasonally normal levels. The outlook from the Climatic Prediction
Center is for a more than likely chance of continued below normal
rainfall for the period of March through May.

West central and southwest Florida has entered the heart of the
dry season, with April being climatologically one of the driest
months of the year. Given the relatively dry antecedent
conditions, and the expected below normal rainfall through May, it
is highly unlikely for flooding to occur during the spring of
2018. The threat for flooding will increase significantly during
the months of June and July as the rainy season kicks in.


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