Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 032141
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0439 PM CDT Mon Oct 03 2022

Valid 051200Z - 111200Z

Through much of the extended forecast period, a rather benign
mid-level flow pattern is expected to keep overall fire weather
concerns low. High pressure building across the Western US will
continue to strengthen before slowly weakening next weekend. To the
east, northwesterly flow aloft will drive several cold fronts south
out of Canada across the central and eastern parts of the Country.
Drier and cooler conditions are expected with the autumn airmass as
high pressure surges across the Plains and eventually the Southeast
into next weekend. Dry and gusty post-frontal conditions atop little
recent rainfall may support some localized fire weather concerns
over portions of the mid South and Gulf Coast next weekend. Some
easterly offshore flow will also be possible across portions of West
Coast early next week as the ridge weakens. However, forecast
confidence is low due to substantial model variability in the medium
range. Otherwise, the more moderate temperatures and lack of
stronger winds suggest fire weather concerns are limited through the
extended forecast period.

..Lyons.. 10/03/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$


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